2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
2 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
3 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
5 SHA Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
6 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
7 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
8 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
9 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
10 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
11 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
12 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
13 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
13 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
15 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
16 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
17 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
18 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
19 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
20 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
21 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
22 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
23 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
24 NGUYEN Damien 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
25 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
26 XIE Brandon 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
27 CASASSOVICI Georges 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
28 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
29 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
30 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 92% 57% 16% 2% -
31 SHULKIN Mark 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
32 FENG Du 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
33 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
34 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 94% 63% 20% 3% -
35 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
36 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
37 MEN Junda 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
38 JIANG ryan 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
39 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
40 SONG Troy 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
41 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
42 HU Robert J. 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% - -
43 WIECHMANN Colin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
44 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
45 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
46 REPIC Oliver 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
47 TANG Charles 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
48 ZHANG Roland 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
49 LEIBOWITZ Ryan 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
50 DUSSEAU Maddax 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
51 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
52 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% 1%
53 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
54 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
55 QUINLAN Sean 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
55 POCHATKO Christian 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
57 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
58 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
58 VINE Ross 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
60 SARIDAKIS Ioannis Thanos 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
61 SOSNICK Samuel 100% 65% 14% 1% - - -
62 DOWD Peter L. 100% 57% 10% 1% - - -
63 PEDICONE Joseph 100% 90% 49% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.