Choco Therapy Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 11, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Savage Fencing Club - Savage, MD, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
2 TRUBETSKI David 100% 100% 98% 75% 33% 6%
3 LACZIN Mark R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
3 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
5 BEAR Myles A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 65% 18%
6 YU William 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
6 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 37%
8 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
9 SHEA William 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
10 WOOD Ben 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
11 BLAM Aaron 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
12 GORDON Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
13 WITTIG Jonathon T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
14 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 3%
15 BAYER John P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
16 RUSANOV Oleg 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
17 FADL Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
18 GRAHAM Asa 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 7% 1%
19 XU Joseph 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
20 SEDGLEY Samuel 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
21 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% 1% -
22 ZAIDI Sohail 100% 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% -
23 MOORE Addisyn 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
24 IHRIE Greg H. 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
25 DONOHUE Peter 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% -
26 MACKAY Ian 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
27 SWANN Max 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
28 GODIN Willis 100% 97% 24% 2% - - -
29 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 89% 42% 7% 1% -
30 SELTZER Eve 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
31 MYERS Kenneth 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
32 CULP Joshua 100% 93% 56% 17% 2% -
33 CHAO Pierre 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
34 NESTERUK Hope 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
35 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
36 JENKINS Michael 100% 81% 37% 7% - - -
36 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
38 NAUGHTON Aidan 100% 43% 7% - - -
39 STENSON Alyssa 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.