Battle of the Bay DIV1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, February 1, 2020 at 10:00 AM

San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
2 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 KOUNALAKIS Antoneo T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
3 XU William 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
5 BLINKOV Andrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
6 CHEN Howard 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
7 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
8 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
9 KHAVANDI Soheil 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
10 PARKEY Jack O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
10 HASNAH Henry 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
12 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
13 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
14 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
15 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
16 YEARLING Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
17 ANDERSON Ian 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
18 MAHONEY Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
19 CHUPKIN Nikolas 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
20 GRIFFIN Nicholas D. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
21 FAN Wengronghao 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
22 FLORES Peter D. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
23 HAWKINS Jasper R. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
24 BAILEY Nate 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
25 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
26 ELLIS Steven 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
27 ALKIN Isaac 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
28 PROCHAZKA Archer R. 100% 99% 77% 37% 9% 1%
29 MARTINEZ Mario D. 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% -
30 HAGA Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
31 STONE Esmond A. 100% 98% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
32 LIU Christopher X. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
33 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1%
34 FEDKIW Olivier 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
35 HODGES Calvin 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
36 KIM Ryan 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
37 YEARLING Ethan 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
38 BRUCE II Ommer E. 100% 15% 1% - - -
39 DHANANI Zain 100% 27% 3% - - - -
40 CHANG Lawrence 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.