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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Junior Olympic Championships

Cadet Women's Épée

Monday, February 21, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 39%
5 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
6 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
7 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 16%
8 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
9 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
10 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
11 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
12 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 27%
13 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
14 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
15 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
16 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
17 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
18 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
19 MAO Amy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
20 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
21 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
21 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
23 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
24 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
25 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
26 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
27 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
28 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
29 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
30 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 10%
31 CHI Chelsea 100% 99% 88% 57% 18% 3% -
32 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
33 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
34 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
35 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
36 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
37 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
38 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 1%
39 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
40 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
41 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
42 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
42 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
44 PARK Judy 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
45 LEE Yedda 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
46 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
47 REMEZA Alissa 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
48 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
49 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
50 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
50 ANDERSON Claire 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12% 1%
52 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 13%
53 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
54 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 1%
55 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
56 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
57 KORKIN Alice 100% 99% 80% 38% 8% 1%
58 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
59 HESS Heidi J. 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
60 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
61 LU Samantha R. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
62 LONADIER Keira 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
63 MING Cynthia 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
64 BARBARA Camille 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
65 PEELER Julia 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
66 WANG Nora 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
67 MUN Brianna K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
68 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
69 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
70 LIU Nicole 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
71 BURN Lauren M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
72 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
73 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% -
74 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
75 YU Sheerea 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
76 HABERMAN Hailey 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
77 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
78 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
79 YOU Isabel B. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
80 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
81 POPOVICI Alina B. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
82 BALSKUS Sophia 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
83 YAO Yilin 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
84 PACHECO Naomi 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 2%
85 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
86 MALLAVARPU Saanvi 100% 99% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
87 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
88 DERAKSHANDEH Donya 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
89 LI Charlotte 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
90 CANNING Charlotte 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
91 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
92 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
93 NIX Reagan 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
94 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
95 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
96 TYTELL Elizabeth 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
97 REID Sobia 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
98 BUSH emma 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
99 BARNOW Sasha 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4% -
100 HICKS Grace 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
101 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
102 LEEDER Elizabeth 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
103 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 91% 59% 19% 2%
104 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
105 LIN Ashley 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
106 DALEY Keira 100% 70% 22% 3% - -
107 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
108 KIM Jayna 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
109 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
110 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25% 3%
111 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
112 XIONG Angelica 100% 98% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
113 CHANG Ella 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
114 YAO KATHARINE 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
115 BENZAN India 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
115 CHANG Celine A. 100% 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -
117 DOERR Zoe 100% 98% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
118 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% -
119 OLORVIDA Isabella 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% - -
120 ENRILE Erica 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
121 SIMHADRI Meghana 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
122 MA Katelyn 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
123 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
124 ZENG Katrina 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
125 GUAN Isabella 100% 72% 29% 5% - -
126 PATIL Amulya 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
127 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
127 SUN Renee R. 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
129 DUONG Zoey 100% 92% 60% 21% 4% - -
130 SOOHOO Claire 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
131 HASIM Eurietta 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
132 MITRANI Gabriela 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
133 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
134 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
135 HAU Olivia 100% 98% 68% 26% 4% -
135 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 91% 48% 12% 1% -
137 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 17% 1% - - -
138 KANEVSKY Samantha 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
139 MACEDON Gianna 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
140 LEE Samantha X. 100% 80% 31% 5% - - -
141 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
141 PULLARA Ashley 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
143 POON Desiree 100% 82% 33% 6% 1% - -
144 NELSON Grace E. 100% 97% 69% 27% 5% - -
144 FRANCIS Elena 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
146 DONDISCH Andrea 100% 67% 16% 2% - - -
147 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
148 CARRIER Meredith 100% 96% 61% 20% 3% - -
148 PENHOET Evelyn 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
150 SENYUVA Su 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 4% -
150 HAYNES Antonia 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
152 DUAN Annie S. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
153 MEWES Katie M. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
153 LEWIS Rachel 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
153 LIN Ariel 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
156 PEARSON Arwa 100% 68% 17% 2% - - -
157 CARLSON Ava 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
158 HOULIHAN Esther 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
159 PAGE Dannan 100% 41% 6% - - - -
159 ZOU Jiayi-Hannah 100% 28% 3% - - - -
161 SRIVASTAVA Arya 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
162 LI Alisha 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
163 KRENZ Avery 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
164 TSIPORUKHA Mia 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
165 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
166 MCKENNA Analise 100% 33% 4% - - -
167 MIRZA Annoshae 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
168 FREEMAN Kate 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
169 CHANDLER Darcy 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
170 PATELLI Anna Alice 100% 82% 26% 4% - - -
171 MARTIN Adriana 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
172 YOU Joyce 100% 25% 2% - - - -
173 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% - -
174 REICHBACH francesca 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
175 GUESNARD Maelig 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.