The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC/RCC/VET

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 20, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Sports Events Recreation Center - The SERC - Brockport, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Andy P. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
2 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
3 LEE Brendan - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
3 TAN Aidan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
5 CHO Xzander 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
6 CHENG Ethan - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
7 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
8 XIE Jicheng 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 3% -
9 TANG Alexander L. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
10 LIU Derek - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
11 VADEN Oliver 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
12 SHENG Dalton - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
13 WONG Jackson - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
14 MAO Lucas - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
15 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
16 LIU Ethan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
17 ZHAO Adam 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2%
18 TOOMRE Kai 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2%
19 LIU ERIC 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
20 ALLEN Henry G. - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 6%
21 CHENG Logan - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
22 ZENG Rick - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
23 CHEN Ethan 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
24 KELKAR Aakash 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
25 BOBROW Silas - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
26 REN Ryan 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
27 WEI JR Shan 15% 45% 31% 8% 1% -
28 SHENG Benjamin 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
29 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
30 TANG Royce 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
31 SONG Yuxuan Austin 4% 30% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
32 HUANG Jinyao 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
33 QIAN Zekai 48% 40% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.