DCFC Youth Challenge #3

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 24, 2022 at 1:30 PM

DC Fencers Club - silver spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
2 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 QIU Emily 100% 100% 98% 86% 45% 9%
3 SOKOL Luke 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
5 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
6 ALI Farhan 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% < 1%
7 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 90% 55% 12% 1%
8 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
9 DAN Rex 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
10 KANG Eunwoo 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14%
11 HULL Liam 100% 99% 81% 19% 1% -
12 LAM Alan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
13 CHHU Allen 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
14 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
15 PETROW Zoryan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
16 PENG Yue 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
17 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
18 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
19 SODANI Luke 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
20 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 72% 24% 4% - -
21 JOHNSON Merit 100% 98% 78% 35% 7% 1%
22 BUI Ryan 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
23 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
24 KIM Kailyn 100% 62% 18% 3% - -
25 EVANS George 100% 99% 87% 46% 12% 1%
26 KONG Brandon 100% 56% 17% 3% - -
27 NOBLE Joseph 100% 99% 88% 56% 16% 1%
28 MARSHALL Andrew 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
29 MARSHALL Colin 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
30 PAZ Brian 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.