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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 2:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OURSLER Jack - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
2 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
3 BAS Liam - - 3% 20% 45% 31%
3 YANG Luao - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
5 WELCH Kyle J. - - - 3% 25% 72%
6 MURRAY Maximo - 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
7 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 7% 30% 44% 18%
8 KAO Castor T. - - 1% 13% 43% 42%
9 SERVELLO Augusto - - - - 3% 23% 74%
10 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
11 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 10% 35% 41% 13%
12 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
13 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
14 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
15 LI Richard - - 5% 23% 45% 26%
16 LIMA Kevin M. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
17 YEROKHIN Michael N. - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
18 DU Samuel R. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
19 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18% 2%
20 BUERGIN Aidan 1% 9% 36% 38% 15% 2%
21 SHA Yi Peng - 2% 14% 41% 35% 8%
22 DESANDO Michael R. - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
23 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
24 BING Charles - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
25 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
26 KNIZHNIK David 1% 11% 33% 39% 15% 1%
27 SIMA Congyu Josh 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1%
28 DAI Jonathan T. - 2% 13% 40% 36% 9%
28 HAN Lawrence 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
30 LEE Aidan - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
31 KEE Andrew L. 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
32 AHN Jun - 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
33 JIANG Owen - 4% 19% 41% 32% 4%
34 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2%
35 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
36 DAUM Charlie 1% 12% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
37 LI Eric - 4% 21% 39% 29% 8% -
38 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% -
39 CHAN Tyler - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
40 LOCKWOOD Owen - 2% 15% 38% 36% 10%
41 HOWARD Michael - 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
42 FU Samuel Y. - - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
43 DAVIDSON Elliot 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
44 LIGOS Alex M. 43% 41% 13% 2% - -
45 ORVANANOS Jorge 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
46 TRAUGOT Owen G. 11% 39% 37% 11% 1% -
46 LEE Jonah 12% 42% 36% 9% 1% -
48 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
49 LEWIS Akhil 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
50 DOCTOR Aidan L. 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
51 LIN James G. - 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
51 STRAYER Andrew - 5% 31% 40% 20% 4% -
53 LAURICELLA Douglas - 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% 2%
54 SHAO Eric 19% 49% 26% 6% 1% - -
55 VERSTEELE Sander 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
56 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
56 TORRES Treston 30% 49% 18% 3% - -
58 YOON DYLAN 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
59 REZA Farazi 50% 40% 10% 1% - -
60 LOU Andy 24% 48% 23% 4% - - -
61 JAUME Andrei 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
62 MIALL Steven A. 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
63 KLOTZ Isaiah 6% 31% 43% 17% 2% -
64 AMRANI David 51% 40% 8% 1% - - -
65 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 38% 47% 14% 2% - -
66 LI Arvin 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% -
67 LE Vyn A. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
68 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
69 LIU Ryan 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
70 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 17% 62% 19% 2% - - -
71 WANG Michael 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
72 TAHOUN Mostafa 10% 38% 38% 11% 1% -
73 GALLER Dave 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
74 MONTALBINE Aidan 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
75 SATTAR Dylan 72% 26% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.