The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Duel of the East Coast Spring RYC & RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, April 17, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Valley Forge Event Center - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GARCIA Sebastian R. - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
2 MOHAMED Murad - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
3 SONG Bryan - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
3 KIM Minhyeok - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
5 KLOTZ Isaiah - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
6 RNO Kyler 1% 12% 39% 37% 11% 1%
7 TORRES Treston - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
8 LEE Eugene 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
9 MOHAMED Amir - - - 5% 32% 62%
10 WANG Brian 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
11 HUANG Eythan 2% 15% 37% 33% 11% 1%
12 CHENG Ethan 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3%
13 WANG Julang 2% 17% 43% 30% 7% -
14 YAO Bradley - 1% 12% 35% 38% 13%
15 LI Aaron - - 6% 28% 48% 17%
16 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 XU Ethan - 6% 27% 44% 21% 2%
18 TANG Terry 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
19 SRINIVASAN Vedant 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1%
20 YAP Nathan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
21 ZENG Rick 2% 16% 40% 31% 9% 1%
22 FRANK Amir 18% 46% 29% 7% 1% -
23 KENNEDY christo 10% 43% 36% 10% 1% -
24 BLACK Zachary 17% 48% 29% 6% 1% -
25 CHEN Kyle P. - 2% 13% 38% 40% 8%
26 CHENG Austyn 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
27 HAO Lawrence 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
28 DALBERG Anders 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
29 MAO Lucas 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
30 BAI Brian 67% 30% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.