The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Mission SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Jackson - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
2 TAN Aidan - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
3 XU Andy P. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 TANG Alexander L. - - 5% 24% 47% 23%
5 LEE Brendan - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 26%
6 KIAYIAS Aris - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
7 LIU Derek - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17%
8 CHENG Ethan - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
9 SHENG Dalton - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 14%
10 HOU Gaven 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
11 GERRISH William - 3% 18% 39% 32% 9%
11 CHENG Logan 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2%
13 CHEN Kyle P. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
14 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 1% 9% 32% 41% 18%
15 ZENG Rick 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
16 SIMONOV Timofey - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
17 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 22%
18 DESERANNO Leander - - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
19 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 2% 11% 33% 39% 14% 2%
20 CHO Xzander - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
21 DOELL Ethan - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
22 CHEN Ethan 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1%
23 LIU ERIC 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
24 SION Andrew 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
25 CHEN Hanson - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
26 REN Ryan 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
27 XU Nathan 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
28 MAO Lucas - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
29 ZHANG Lucas 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
30 WANG Rory 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
31 TOOMRE Kai 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
32 FOGELSON Hugh 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
33 XIE Jicheng 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
34 HONG Logan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
35 HUANG Jinyao 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
36 JOHN Meru 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
37 LEE Charles T 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
38 JIANG Oscar 10% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
39 POLEBOYINA Amrit 43% 42% 14% 2% - -
40 TANG Royce 2% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
41 ZHAO Ryan 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% -
42 KO Caleb 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
43 REYES Yannik 41% 45% 12% 1% - -
44 SUNDSTROM Wren 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
45 WONG Jacob W. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
46 ZHANG Zijie 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
47 MO Ethan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
48 SAMUEL Lucas 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% -
49 WANG Ralph 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
50 LUCAS Elliot 2% 15% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
50 QIAN Zekai 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% - -
52 GRUNENWALD Henri < 1% - 1% 10% 33% 42% 13%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.