The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEDELI Francesco - - - - 2% 22% 75%
2 CHEN Hanson - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
3 TANG Royce - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 4%
3 TOOMRE Kai - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
5 CHENG Logan - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
6 DOELL Ethan - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
7 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 DESERANNO Leander - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
9 LI Bradley - - 5% 24% 48% 23%
10 SHAW eric 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% < 1% -
11 JIN Andy 4% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
12 WEI JR Shan - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
13 HUA Aaron - - 5% 18% 36% 32% 10%
14 LEE SIYUN - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
15 SUAREZ David - 4% 18% 38% 33% 8%
16 REN Ryan 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
17 OZAWA Taishi - 1% 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
18 QIAN Henry 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
19 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 1% 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
20 WATERFIELD Lysander - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
21 ALANAZI Saif - 2% 11% 30% 38% 17% 1%
22 HUANG Jinyao 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
23 KINGSLEY Griffin 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
24 HUYNH Matthew 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
25 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
26 XIE Jayden - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
26 LYU Hugo 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
28 YU ShiLin (Harry) 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
29 SONG Yuxuan Austin 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
30 WU Thomas - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
31 GRIGORIEV Michael - 1% 5% 20% 40% 31% 3%
32 LIM EUNSEONG 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
33 KROPP Wesley 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
34 ZHAI Derrick - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
34 HE Ryan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
36 HUANG Anthony 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
37 LEE JISUNG - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
38 ZHAI Alex 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1% -
39 PAULUS Gregory 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
40 TSENG Lucas 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
41 AMR HOSSNY Adam 4% 22% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
42 SHIN Noah 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
43 LEE KWANGHU - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
44 MAZAHERI Fletcher 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
45 FARMER John 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
46 RESENDE BONIFACIUK Lucas 20% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
47 MAZZUCA Gianluca 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
48 CHOW Kingsley 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
49 BAI Austin 16% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
50 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
51 MAZAHERI Theodore 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
52 PACK Lindsey 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
53 KIM Leo 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
54 HOARE Gabriel 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.