The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FESTA Carina - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
2 XU Emily T. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
3 YOUNG Audrey - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 WANG yining - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
5 FERNANDEZ Martina - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
6 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
7 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
8 LIU Yifei - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
9 WEI JoyAnn - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
10 MALEK Zolie - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
11 GUVEN Coco - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
12 DHAR Layla - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
13 STONE Coral - 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
14 HUCHWAJDA Pola - 2% 12% 28% 35% 19% 3%
15 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
16 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
17 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
18 LIU Sophie - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
19 BOYNTON Ainsley 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
20 CANSECO Carly - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
21 KONDEV Elizabeth - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
22 WANG Callie - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
23 FLATT Sophia - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
24 LI Alexis 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
25 KURAEVA Vasilisa - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10%
26 HU Anna 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
27 WENG Amber 1% 14% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
28 ZENG Sarah - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
29 DEHON Inès - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
30 DAMBAL Sasha - 9% 31% 37% 19% 4%
31 ZHENG Valentina - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
32 MYAT Chloe - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 5%
33 BAIREDDY Maya 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
34 WANG Caroline 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
35 ZHANG Emily 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
36 KHOST Maeve - 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
37 BERNARD Kathryn - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
38 CHAN Madeleine V. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
39 HE Lizbeth - - 2% 10% 29% 41% 19%
40 ROOPRAI Amarjot - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
41 LEE Alyson 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
42 RANJAN Diya 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
43 CHAVAN Arya 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
44 PRESANTH Nandana 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
45 HAMMERSTROM Aria 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
46 FAVO Isabella 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1%
47 CHANG Julia 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
48 FLEEGER Sophia 88% 12% 1% - - -
49 MCGRAW Sadie 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
50 CARTER Keely 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
51 PROBASCO Leila 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
52 BAINS Nandini 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
53 TA-ZHOU Emma 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
54 CROMPTON Celine 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
55 ROUIS Nina 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
56 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 31% 47% 19% 3% - - -
57 CHI Claire 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
58 CHO Kaeli M. 10% 46% 32% 10% 1% - -
58 CHEN Yuhan (Daisy) 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
60 BARROSO Isabela 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
61 FORTIN Emily 34% 48% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.