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Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Michael - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
2 LI Matthew - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
3 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 SHENG Dalton - - 5% 28% 41% 22% 3%
5 LYU Victor - - - - 6% 33% 60%
6 KIM Minhyeok - - - 9% 32% 41% 18%
7 QIAN Jason H. - - - 7% 30% 43% 20%
8 FEDELI Francesco - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
9 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
10 KIAYIAS Aris - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
11 TIKHAEV Alexander - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
12 PAN Henry - 1% 7% 25% 41% 23% 3%
13 SONG Austin - - 1% 17% 40% 33% 9%
14 WONG Jackson - - 4% 18% 40% 32% 6%
15 DERRICK Blake - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
16 LEVY Jacob - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
17 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
18 GUO Justin - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
19 MAO Lucas - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
20 TANG Alexander L. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
21 WANG Winston - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
22 STRADOMSKYI Klim - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
23 LIU Ethan - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
24 TANG August L. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
25 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
26 PARRISH Evan 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
27 GERRISH William - 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
28 DESERANNO Leander 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
29 RUSSELL Paul 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
30 YAO Bradley - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
31 YAP Nathan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
32 ZHAO Adam 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
33 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
34 TANG Terry 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
35 TWEMLOW Sacha 3% 22% 38% 28% 9% 1%
36 TANG Albert - - 4% 24% 41% 25% 4%
37 PALMA Nathan Anthony 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
38 HE Kyle 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
39 HUANG Eythan 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3%
40 LEE Brendan - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 12%
41 DANIZ FERNANDO A. - 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
42 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
43 MASSIMINO Andrew 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
44 CHEN Kyle P. - - 2% 18% 41% 32% 7%
45 LEE Eugene 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
46 BARRETT Austin 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
47 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 1% 16% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
48 ZENG Rick - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
49 GUTH Joseph - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
50 SONG Noel 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
51 LU Nathan 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
52 JIANG Bowang 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
53 ALLEN Henry G. - - 3% 27% 42% 24% 5%
54 SENIC Lucas - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
55 WANG Brian - 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
56 SUAREZ Adrian 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
57 DHOKTE Neev 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
58 CHOI JIAN - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
59 CHEN Ethan 8% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
60 YU William 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
61 XU Dinghui Ryan 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
62 CHO Xzander 1% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
63 SAH Steven 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
64 ARIZA Abraham J. 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
65 HUTH Trevor - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
66 SHAW Spencer 13% 52% 32% 2% - - -
67 LEE Ethan 22% 54% 21% 3% - - -
68 RILEY Colin T. 28% 46% 23% 3% - - -
69 ZAIDI Adil 56% 37% 7% - - - -
70 ZHAO Nathan - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
71 SEMP Iain 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
72 LEE Junehyuk 13% 41% 38% 8% 1% - -
73 XIE Jicheng 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
74 LIU Robert 68% 27% 4% - - - -
75 ZHANG Alex 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
76 GOODLIN Sean 27% 46% 22% 5% - - -
76 JIANG Yehong 55% 38% 7% - - - -
78 BAI Brian 75% 23% 2% - - - -
79 WATSON Logan 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
80 CHUANG Oscar 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
81 NOLAN Tyler 8% 39% 46% 7% - - -
82 MILES Greyson 21% 46% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.