The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
2 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
3 WEISS Miles J. - - - - 3% 28% 69%
3 SILVERS Noah E. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
5 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 LONCAR Luka E. - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
8 SENNEWALD James J. - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
9 LIU Alexander - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
10 MA Ark - - - - 6% 37% 57%
11 LIN Kyran - 1% 7% 27% 43% 20% 3%
12 BINDAS Odinn A. - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 8%
13 JEON Alexander E. - - - 5% 25% 52% 18%
14 LIPPMAN Eli - - 1% 8% 31% 48% 11%
15 BORODITSKY Ethan - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
16 JIN Nicholas - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
17 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - - 5% 22% 44% 28%
18 FRAY Alexander - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
19 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
20 YOUNG Peyton E. - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
21 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
22 PARK Ian C. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 29%
23 BEZRODNOV Michael - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
24 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
25 MCKEEVER Luca 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
26 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
27 LEE Shwan 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
28 CHONG christopher - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
29 KIM Sterling S. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
30 JACKSON James 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
31 WU Jonathan 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
32 KIM Benjamin I. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
33 WU Joseph - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
34 INSLER Ethan C. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
34 CANDELA Nicholas - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
36 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
37 LEE Daniel Y. - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
38 CHEN Eric - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
39 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
40 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
41 LEHR William D. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
42 KIM Darius H. - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
43 CLICK Aiden - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
44 GATZA Logan - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
45 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
46 KOKENGE Reid - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
47 GIBSON Nowell L. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
48 KROPP Jack - 1% 8% 28% 43% 19%
49 PRASAD Ankith - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
50 SHAH S Ayush - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
51 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
51 KIM Byung - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
53 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
54 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 2% 17% 47% 33%
55 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8% -
56 LEVITSKY Jonathan - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
57 KUMAR Aidan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
58 HEIM Bryce 1% 8% 31% 40% 17% 3% -
59 BROOKS Mason K. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
60 GRAYSON Shane W. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
61 PARK Brian 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
62 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
63 SHIV Rishi - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
64 JIN daniel 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
65 CHO Tyler H. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
66 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
67 DIECK Logan O. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 3%
68 JIN Owen - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
69 MOSES Alexander - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
70 KANG Philip F. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
71 ZHANG Alec - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
72 GANA Jr Jorge M. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
73 MUGA Boris - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18%
74 LIEF Isaac R. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
75 SCHARF Ryan 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
76 GYURE Brayden H. - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
77 KIM Sullivan 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% < 1% -
78 WANG DEVON - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
79 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
80 JEONG Connor - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
81 BHATNAGAR Ayan - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
82 LEE Seungwon 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
83 BEKKER Mitchel - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
84 SMITH Nicholas S. - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 14%
85 DAVOODIAN Christopher 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
86 JOSEPH William - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
87 RHYU Kozmo - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
88 LI Patrick - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
89 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
90 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
91 GAO Daniel - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
92 MISHIMA Torata - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
93 GALLO James - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
94 AGAON Shawn - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 2%
95 CASTLE Aaron - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
96 KOBI Samuel - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
97 CHU Allan 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
98 KHANNA Nikhil 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
98 MATTIS George 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
100 LI Jalen 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1%
101 BORATIN Daniel I. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
102 SHAH Maximilian A. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
103 HE Lawrence - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
104 SU Caleb - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
105 KATS Dylan G. - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8% 1%
106 VEZMAR Evan H. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
107 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 9%
108 PRIHODKO Max - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
109 MACARTY Jordan T. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
110 HANNON Owen 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
111 SHARMA Sanil - - 1% 5% 23% 45% 26%
112 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - 3% 15% 38% 36% 8%
113 JAIN Sarthak - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
114 NORTH Alexander M. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
115 ZHENG Haoran - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
116 KIM Nathan 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
117 ZHU Max 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
118 CAO Brad 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
119 XIAO Andrew 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
120 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
121 DIXON Thomas 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
122 HARR Carver 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
123 LEE Wesley - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 2%
124 POPOVICI Maximilian P. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
125 AHMED saheer 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
126 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
127 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 8% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
128 PHUKAN Rohin 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
129 HILBERT Gabriel E. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
130 KIM Dylan J. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
131 LEE Samuel Y. - 7% 27% 39% 21% 5% -
132 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
133 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
134 PARK Elliot - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
135 LEONE III Charles D. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
136 IYOKI Kent - - - - 5% 30% 65%
137 RICHARD Owen - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
138 OSTIGUY Cameron 13% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
139 ZHOU Stanley Q. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
140 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 4%
141 CREMONA Diego Maria 6% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
142 STRAUSS Luke 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
143 VACCARO Dominick J. 1% 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% -
144 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
145 SHA Michael 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
146 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
147 GRAY Sterling B. - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
148 AGAON Ethan 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
149 WANG owen 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
150 JAAFAR Omar 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
151 WOLFE Alex 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
152 GAO Zachary 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
153 CHOI Mason - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
154 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 1% 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
155 ARAVIND Athreya 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
156 CARRIER Gabriel A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
156 SINGHA Orion - - 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
156 IARIKOV Nicholas - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
159 WANG Terry - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
160 SPITTLE Jake 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
161 SHCHUR Landon 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1%
162 DESTEFANO Julius 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
163 DEKERMANJI Christopher 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
164 CHOI Aleksey 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
165 CAO Albert 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
166 NGUYEN Tate 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
167 LIN Kason 24% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
168 LAI Aedin 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
169 ROLLO Emmett H. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
170 CHAWLA Armaan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
171 DIVERIS Joseph 7% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
172 TORRES Nicolas 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% - -
173 DENNIS Ethan 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
174 FU Leon 8% 29% 37% 21% 4% -
175 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
176 SARIKONDA Akhil 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
177 ZENG Zihan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
178 POS Theo - 2% 11% 33% 42% 13%
179 XIANG Hongyi 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
180 FENG du 38% 43% 16% 3% - -
181 SAVORETTI Francesco 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
182 EMARA Omar - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
183 MORSE Tyler - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
183 SINGH Aryaman 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
185 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
186 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
187 ARKHIPOV Peter 5% 24% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
188 VALES Keyan 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
189 PAHLAVI Kamran 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
190 ZHUANG William 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
191 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
191 TRIMMER Colin - 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1%
191 WANG Tristan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
194 GOHSMAN Maxwell 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
195 MCADOO Declan 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
196 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
197 NIKOLOV Peter 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
198 JORDAN Anton 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
199 GAO Chaney C. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
200 CROSSMAN Brandon 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
201 DAVIS Jonah 9% 45% 34% 10% 1% - -
202 HUSSAIN Kamran - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
202 CHRISTENSEN Parker 7% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
204 LEE JoonWon 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
205 SKAALAND Will 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
205 WATT Darren 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% - -
207 LAI Coby 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
208 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
209 MENDOZA Zachari - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
210 MUGA Aiden 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
211 WU Marcus 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
211 WANG Steven 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
213 FUSSMAN Yuval 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
214 SAVORETTI Pietro 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
215 REDDY Arya 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
216 LO Jake 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
217 YAO Geoffrey B. 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
218 MAHESH Tarun 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
219 KWOUN Miles S. 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
220 EVANS noah 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
221 LIU Andrew 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
222 ZHAO corey - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
223 LIU Dylan Y. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
224 WANG Aidan 17% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
225 LIU Noah 47% 40% 12% 1% - - -
225 YU Hunter 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
227 WEAVER Neil 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
228 DU SHUNYU K. 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
228 PRAKASH Hari 40% 43% 14% 2% - - -
228 EVERS Gabriel 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
231 ROTHKA Spencer J. 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
231 LI Jeffrey 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
233 MING Nathan 12% 44% 34% 9% 1% - -
234 PARK Nicholas 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
235 WEI Michael 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
236 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
237 SCHERNIKAU Jack 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
238 CHIN Dylan A. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
239 SINHA Zaan 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
239 ULINICH Alexander 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
239 ZHU Eric 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
242 QUITORIANO Jonathan 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
243 JEON Hwidong 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
244 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 61% 32% 7% 1% - - -
245 LI Zachary 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
246 XIE Brandon 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
247 STCLAIR Jake 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
248 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 17% 47% 28% 7% 1% - -
249 LIU Felix 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
250 LOISEAU Eliott 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
251 WIMMER Nathaniel P. < 1% 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
252 HE Zhiheng 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
253 GULLO Kenji Y. 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2% -
253 HEADRICK Lance 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
255 ARMITAGE Liam 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
256 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 14% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
257 GAITHER Christopher W. 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
258 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
259 PHAM Sawyer T. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
260 BERNARD Jack B. 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
260 BYARS John 67% 29% 4% - - - -
262 SPINA Joseph B. 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% -
263 MENDOZA Zander 33% 45% 18% 3% - - -
264 FAN Wei Jyun 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
265 QUITORIANO Matthew 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
266 HU Robert J. 57% 36% 7% 1% - - -
267 LOMIO Nicholas A. 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
268 HU Anton 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
269 ZHAO Zidong 21% 49% 24% 5% - - -
270 ROSS Connor 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.