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Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, April 23, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 JIANG Anthony - - 2% 11% 31% 41% 16%
3 JI Cody Walter - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
3 MORRILL William - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
5 LIANG Connor - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
6 SOHN Kevin J. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
7 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
8 BERRIO Carter E. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
9 LILOV Neil - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
10 RAI Avin - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
11 LEE Justin - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
12 YANG Ziyi - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 7%
13 HJERPE Wade H. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
14 DENNER Lysander H. - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
15 XU William - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
16 BAE Jason I. 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
17 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
18 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - - 6% 31% 63%
19 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
20 YOUNG Nash - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 17%
21 WOOD Elden S. - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
21 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
21 KIM Shaun M. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
24 HUANG Ethan F. - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
25 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
26 BERMAN Luca - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
27 LO Joshua H. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
28 HONG Vincent Q. - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
29 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
30 BARBER William S. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
31 LEE Aydan J. 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
32 HAN William 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
33 SO Hananiah - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
34 CHAVES Matthew J. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
35 BOLTON Braydon A. - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
36 DODRILL Grant - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
37 LIU kelly - 3% 19% 45% 27% 5%
38 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
38 CHAN Matthew - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
40 GEFELL Andrew P. - - - 3% 18% 44% 36%
41 NIL Michael Y. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 4%
42 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
43 LIM William J. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
44 TAO Jeffrey 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
45 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
46 HOLZ William A. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
47 LAI Adam J. - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
47 YUN Jaesun - - 3% 22% 50% 24%
49 KIM Avery J. - - 1% 9% 43% 47%
49 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
51 CHON Taylor A. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
52 DENNER Maximilian P. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
53 WOODWARD Connor - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
54 LINSKY Matthew - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
55 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
56 CHOI Silas - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
57 AVAKIAN Alec 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
58 FLOT Tai A. 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
59 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 4% 24% 49% 23%
60 YANG Duncan (BoTong) - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
61 XU Luke 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
62 HOLZ Daniel - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
63 ZHENG Edward L. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
64 CHEONG Heonjun 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
65 YUN Jake - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
66 DENG Andrew - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
67 ZHU Charlie 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% < 1%
68 JOHNSON Langston C. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
69 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 8% 25% 37% 25% 4%
70 WU Mengke - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
71 XU Andrew - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
72 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
73 XUE ALEXANDER - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
74 GHENEA George Philipe - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
75 HONG Steven - 8% 35% 42% 13% 1%
76 PANDEY Neil 1% 9% 29% 41% 18% 2%
77 MAKLIN Edward P. - 2% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2%
78 ZHANG Derek - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
79 GHAYALOD ansh - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
80 DU Gavin J. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
81 JINICH Ilan R. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
81 STONE Esmond A. 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
83 BOUKHTIN Maxim 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
84 CADAMBI Roshan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
85 BULL Anderson - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
86 MARGULIES William - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
87 FENG Leo - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
88 HOUTZ Jackson - 4% 18% 33% 31% 13% 1%
89 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 2% 16% 38% 33% 10%
90 TONG ZACHARY - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
91 ERMAKOV Lev - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11%
92 BUCHMANN Finn D. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
93 PATIL Aaryan A. 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
94 HAN Daniel Y. - 5% 24% 41% 26% 4%
94 LO Alexander 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
96 OH Triton 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2%
97 ZENG Noah 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
98 SCHERER Max 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
99 ROBINSON William 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
100 SIMAK Joseph P. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
101 REN Richard 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
102 SHOMAN Zachary - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 4%
103 DOLAN Charles R. 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
104 COLE Alexander 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
105 PRIMUS Nazir - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
106 NG Jeremiah 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
107 CHEONG Heonjae - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
108 LIN Daniel - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
108 ZHOU Matthew R. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
110 ZHOU Justin - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
111 YANG Dylan 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
112 QIU Nathan 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
113 KIM Matthew 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
114 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
115 KROON Lucas 6% 30% 44% 17% 2% -
116 KUSHKOV Veniamin 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
117 WANG Robert 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
118 ZHANG Jeffrey 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
119 BROU Inkosi 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
120 FERNANDEZ Liam 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
121 NARANJO David E. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
122 SU Landon 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
123 STURN Oliver 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
124 MAY Griffin M. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
125 MURZYN III CJ 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
126 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
127 GUAN Luke 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 3% -
128 BAUER Hank E. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
129 WANG Eric Y. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
130 WONG Ryan - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
131 HAN Edward 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
132 BONSELL Vance 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
133 KIM Alexander M. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
134 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
135 HOPPA Luke H. 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
136 SANDERS Samuel B. 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
137 KAYDALIN Artyom - 1% 9% 32% 44% 14%
138 LUO George F. - 5% 27% 40% 23% 5%
139 ZHUANG Rayken 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
140 MICLAUS Justin 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
141 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
142 CHIN Matthew W. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
143 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
143 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
145 POPE Nico - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
146 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
147 DELARUE NELSON Y. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
148 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
149 BERGER Oliver - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
150 GOLD Jackson 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
151 CHEN Evan P. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
151 SILVA Daniel - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
153 SHOMAN Noah - 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
154 SCHARDINE James 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
155 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
156 YOU Jaden 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
157 CRAIG Samuel 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
158 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
159 DEKA Tanush 7% 46% 37% 10% 1% -
160 BEITEL Noah 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
161 SWORDS Evan F. - 4% 21% 41% 29% 5%
162 LU Caleb Q. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
163 NOBLE Colin 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
164 LIU Mingyang Ryan 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
165 DEPEW Spencer 5% 37% 40% 16% 2% -
166 ZHOU Miles - 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
167 ARDOIN Cameron 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
168 ZHANG Ethan W. 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
169 FIELDS Matthew S. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
170 RESHEIDAT Malik 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
171 PAN Alex 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
172 PIWOWAR Alex 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
173 ZHOU James Y. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
174 CHENG Kyle 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
175 VOSS Jeffer 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
176 THORNHILL Kwasi 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
177 GREENBAUM Ian L. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
178 HUANG Connor 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
179 TANN Justin - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 8%
180 LANNAMAN Connor 12% 42% 35% 10% 1% - -
181 BALDWIN Michael B. 5% 27% 43% 21% 4% - -
182 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
183 HONG Rubin 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
184 KESSLER Josh 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
184 RAMANAN Govind 10% 41% 36% 11% 1% - -
186 WONG James T. 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
187 TANG Anzheng 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
188 CHENG Hong 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
189 HU Christopher 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
190 LUHAN Zachary 40% 44% 15% 2% - -
191 SINGH Angadh 1% 16% 45% 31% 6% -
192 KILGALLEN William 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
193 FORT David 25% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
194 RIGHTLER Samuel 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
195 LEE Noah 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
196 CLARK Keagan 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
197 LIU Lawrence 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
198 ANDERSON William 82% 17% 1% - - -
199 PENG Bryan 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
200 KUMAR Sachit 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
201 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
202 SUPLICO Enrico Lucio 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
203 WANG Nicolas 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
204 CHAN Aidan 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
205 LEONARD Charles 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
206 LIPPMAN Eli 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
207 PI Alexander 5% 30% 40% 20% 5% 1% -
208 BERA Enzo 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
209 GINSBERG jordan 4% 26% 43% 22% 4% - -
210 BOSITA Carson 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
211 CAISSE Simon B. 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
212 SUGIURA Samuel 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
213 ZHANG Yupeng 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
214 BYON Adrian 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
215 SAVOY Luca 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
216 CHTERENTAL Alex 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
217 SHANKAR Karthik 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
217 MOULTON Ian 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
219 JAIN Aniket 41% 41% 16% 3% - -
219 LIN Steve 13% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
221 KAPOOR Tanmay 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
222 NOURELDIN Gabriel 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
222 FARIDI Imran 77% 21% 2% - - -
224 BYON Julian 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
225 SMINK Oliver 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
226 GAO Marcus 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
226 TAUER Sam 54% 38% 8% 1% - - -
228 GAO Albert 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
228 LEITH Jack 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
230 MCCARTHY Devan 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
231 JAYASANKAR Hari 19% 48% 28% 5% - -
232 RAMANAN Jaisimh 5% 48% 35% 10% 1% -
233 DECK Tyson 50% 40% 10% 1% - - -
233 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
233 VELTZ Tyler J. 73% 24% 3% - - - -
236 WEBER Mattias A. 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
237 OLARIO Raphael 75% 23% 2% - - -
238 GOLD Carter 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
239 SUN Ziyao 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
240 PARK Caleb 80% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.