The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Richmond Winter RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, February 12, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aydan J. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
2 WOODWARD Connor - - - 2% 11% 39% 49%
3 CHAVES Matthew J. - - 1% 8% 45% 46%
3 SU Landon - - 4% 36% 45% 15%
5 THORNHILL Kwasi 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
6 EICHHORN Lukas H. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
7 DUDNICK Christian 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
8 WELLS Griffin 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
9 HOTHA Nikhil 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
10 OTT Alexander 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
11 CLARK Keagan 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
12 DECK Tyson 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
13 LIN Felix 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
14 MOL Justin 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
15 SHANKAR Karthik 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
16 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
17 TERMINI Jason 8% 31% 41% 19% 2% -
18 FARAON Paulus 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
19 WEINSTEIN Nate - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 8%
20 LICHTERMAN Jakub 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
21 MEYTIN Maxwell S. 17% 44% 33% 7% - -
22 GAUVEY Kieran 6% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1%
23 KENNEDY Aidan 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
24 ELLIOTT Reyhan - 5% 25% 43% 24% 2%
25 STOLL Fuller 32% 46% 20% 2% - -
26 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.