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2022 Cobra International/Youth/Cadet/Junior

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, June 11, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Cobra Fencing Club - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHU Yuchen (Kevin)	-	-	1%	8%	26%	40%	24%
2	KANG evan	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	12%
3	YAN William	1%	6%	24%	37%	26%	6%
3	SAHAY Kenji	-	-	3%	16%	41%	41%
5	LIN Maxim	-	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	6%
6	DOWNEY Baran	-	1%	10%	29%	40%	20%
7	WANG daniel	-	1%	8%	28%	41%	22%
8	TANG Shu Hon	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	26%
9	GONG Jerry	-	-	1%	9%	29%	42%	18%
10	LIU Kevin	-	1%	8%	30%	42%	19%
11	ALAVE Kyle	-	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
12	KAZIMIR Harrison	1%	6%	20%	34%	28%	10%	1%
13	SHINCHUK Daniel	1%	6%	20%	34%	28%	10%	1%
14	VAROQUA Nalby	1%	6%	23%	38%	27%	5%
15	MUNGOVAN Matthew	1%	7%	30%	39%	20%	3%
16	RAJMOHAN Arya	1%	12%	32%	36%	17%	2%
17	LEE Ashe	-	5%	26%	40%	24%	5%
18	KUMAR Arjun	11%	32%	35%	17%	4%	-
19	DESFORGES Jacques	2%	17%	38%	32%	10%	1%
20	KIM Theodore	13%	42%	34%	10%	1%	-
21	BUCK Maximilian	38%	45%	15%	2%	-	-
22	BIVIJI Ali	-	5%	25%	39%	25%	5%
23	LIM Brandon	3%	16%	31%	31%	15%	4%	-
24	ZHAO Eric	1%	6%	19%	31%	27%	12%	2%
25	SHAH Sajan	8%	28%	35%	21%	7%	1%	-
26	BADUSHOV Anton	-	3%	12%	28%	34%	19%	4%
27	VUONG Kyle Ka-Him	2%	14%	34%	34%	14%	2%
28	CARRINGTON IV William T.	1%	6%	23%	37%	26%	7%
29	HO Nathaniel	10%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-
30	ORAL Derin	25%	42%	25%	7%	1%	-
31	JONES Elijah	2%	12%	30%	33%	18%	5%	-
32	BODKIN Jake M.	-	2%	15%	36%	35%	11%
33	SHAH Sohan	-	6%	26%	40%	23%	5%
34	YANG Richard Yunzheng	2%	15%	32%	33%	15%	2%
35	KAY Gabriel	37%	42%	17%	3%	-	-
36	SHINCHUK Jacob	44%	41%	13%	2%	-	-
37	ZHANG Emmanuel	7%	27%	36%	22%	6%	1%
38	AYDOGDU Hakan	9%	28%	35%	21%	6%	1%	-
39	WONG Caleb W.	6%	25%	37%	24%	8%	1%	-
40	CHEA Caden	7%	26%	35%	23%	8%	1%	-
41	CHEN Ryan	24%	47%	24%	5%	-	-
41	YANG Si He	7%	35%	41%	15%	2%	-
43	FEENEY Michael	5%	23%	38%	26%	8%	1%
44	HARRIS Evan	4%	22%	38%	27%	8%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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