The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Bay Cup at EBFG: VWE2, VXE3

Veteran Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 26, 2022 at 11:00 AM

East Bay Fencers Gym - Oakland, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 ALLEN Graham - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
3 BOTHELIO Jere - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 1%
3 HE Wei 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
5 LIU Bobby 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
6 CHEN Steve 6% 30% 42% 20% 3%
7 KOERBER Christopher 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
8 SLOAN Ryan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
9 WHEELER Mark 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
10 DOWNEY Jerry - 4% 20% 44% 32%
11 HARGROVE Charles - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
12 HELGE James - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
13 BARAFF David 6% 28% 41% 22% 3%
14 MAYCHROWITZ Matthew - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
15 LYNCH Kristin 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
16 DEW Eric 2% 16% 37% 34% 10%
17 LUCASEY Charles 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
18 WEINGARTEN Solomon 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
19 DAVIS Andrew - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
20 LIPTON Michael 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
21 HOFMAN Haejung 37% 42% 18% 3% -
22 BECK Brian 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
23 CAMPBELL Kenneth 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
24 SHELBY Robert 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
25 HOGE Patrick 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.