The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Goldfinch ROC D1A, D2, Vet, RJC and chair fencing

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, March 26, 2022 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
2 HONG Vincent Q. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
3 HUANG Ethan F. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
3 MARGULIES William 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
6 MICHELL Bailey - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
7 NOBLE Colin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
8 KIM-COGAN Ryan - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
9 WILSON Jude - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
10 KIM Matthew 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
11 CHOI Silas - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
12 BAE Jason I. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
13 ZHOU Miles - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
14 WANG Robert 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
15 GLOZMAN Justin 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
16 COLE Alexander 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
17 WONG Ryan - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
18 WOODWARD Dylan P. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
19 HOLMES Aiden G. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
20 STONE Esmond A. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
21 MICLAUS Justin - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
22 ELIN Adam E. 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1%
23 MORALES Jonathan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
24 GETS Matthew D. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
24 DENG Andrew - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
26 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
27 HARRIS Alex K. - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
28 HAN Daniel Y. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
29 RODRIGUEZ Darlin - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
30 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
31 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
32 TRUDNOS Allen - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
33 SHANAHAN Adam E. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
34 ZENG Noah - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
35 CADAMBI Roshan 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
36 GOLDMAN Noah R. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
37 EDELMAN Seth A. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
38 JANG Junhyuk 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
39 WU Wilmund 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
40 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 10% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
41 CORTEZ Christopher - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
42 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
43 CHENG Hong 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
44 VILLARREAL Mateo 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
45 WEBER Mattias A. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
46 DOLAN Charles R. - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
47 YOU Jaden 7% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
48 HOTHA Nikhil 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
49 DEKA Tanush 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
50 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 20% 41% 28% 9% 2% - -
51 KAPOOR Tanmay 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
52 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 19% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
53 HU Andrew 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
54 SAVOY Luca 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
55 GREENE Cameron J. - 4% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
56 CLARK Keagan 37% 41% 17% 3% - -
57 GOLD Jackson 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
58 XIA Eric 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
59 LEONARD Charles 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
60 MORNEAULT Derec A. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
61 VENCILL Nicholas 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
61 TANG Shu Hon 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.