SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MARGULIES William | V V D V V D | V V V V V | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 2 | HONG Vincent Q. | D V V V V D | V V V V V D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| 3 | HAN Daniel Y. | D V D V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | DENG Andrew | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 5 | SHOMAN Zachary | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 6 | EDELMAN Seth A. | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 7 | FLITSANOV Macabee | D D V V V D | V V V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 8 | SHOMAN Noah | D V V D D V | V V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 9 | DOLAN Charles R. | V V V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| 10 | BABAYEV Gabriel A. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 11 | FIELDS Matthew S. | V V V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 12 | NIL Michael Y. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 13 | CHOI Silas | V D D V V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 14 | ZHENG Edward L. | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 15 | MORALES Jonathan | D D V D V V | V V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 16 | NG Jeremiah | V V D V D D | V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 17 | PIWOWAR Alex | V V V V D V | D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 18 | CHEN Evan P. | D V V V V V | D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 19 | GOLD Carter | V V V D V V | D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 20 | STONE Esmond A. | V D V V V V | D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 21 | GOLDMAN Noah R. | V D V V D V | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 22 | ZHOU Miles | V V V D D V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 23 | YUAN Kevin | V D V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 24 | GOLD Jackson | D V V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 25 | ELIN Adam E. | V D V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 26 | MCCARTHY Gabriel | V D D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 27 | SU Landon | D V D D V V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 28 | SHAHZAD Azlan A. | V D D V V D | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 29 | DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) | V D V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 30 | ZENG Noah | V D D D V D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 31 | WEBER Mattias A. | D D D V D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 32 | OH Triton | V D D D D D | V D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 33 | CLARK Keagan | V V D D D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 34 | LEONARD Charles | V V D D V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 35 | YOU Jaden | D D V D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 36 | WRUBEL Natan G. | D V D D V D | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 37 | EPSTEIN Oliver D. | D D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 38 | COLE Alexander | D V V D D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 39 | DEPEW Spencer | V D D D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 40 | GOLDMAN Robert | D D D D V V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 41 | WONG Ryan | D D D D D V | D | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| 42 | ZHOU Grant | D D D V D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 43 | GILPIN Samuel | D V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 44 | TROPE Aidan | D D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 44 | AGREDO Marcel | D V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 46 | CHOU Jack | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 47 | YEUNG Jerry | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 48 | LEDERMAN James | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 49 | WHEELER Jackson | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.