The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Goldfinch ROC D1A, D2, Vet, RJC and chair fencing

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, March 27, 2022 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORALES Jonathan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
2 KIM Matthew - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
3 SHANAHAN Adam E. - 5% 23% 44% 29%
3 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
5 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
6 MICHELL Bailey - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
7 JANG Junhyuk - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
8 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 12% 39% 38% 10%
9 GREENE Cameron J. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
10 BAE Jason I. - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
11 EDELMAN Seth A. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
12 GOLD Jackson 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
13 LEONARD Charles 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
14 HAN Daniel Y. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
15 YOU Jaden 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
16 PIWOWAR Alex - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
17 ELIN Adam E. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
18 SUGIURA Samuel 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
19 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
20 GOLD Carter 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
21 GLOZMAN Justin 1% 13% 41% 37% 9%
22 WEBER Mattias A. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
23 CLARK Keagan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
24 CORTEZ Christopher - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
25 STAMIS Kyle 31% 45% 20% 4% -
26 DEKA Tanush 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
27 YUAN Kevin - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
28 KAPOOR Tanmay 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
29 SHI Erick 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
30 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
31 MATERDEY Alexander 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
32 HUANG Maxwell H. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
33 MORNEAULT Derec A. 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
34 BELLA JARO Marcus Vincent 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
35 TANG Shu Hon 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
36 LEE Junghun 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
37 CHENG Hong 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
38 DUFFEY Jerry E. - 3% 14% 28% 32% 19% 4%
39 CHOU Jack 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
40 BLOODWORTH Drake 1% 11% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
41 CHOKSI Vihaan 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
42 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
43 VENCILL Nicholas 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
44 ARBEITMAN Evan 20% 44% 29% 6% -
45 SHU Richard 61% 33% 5% - - - -
46 SAMOTESSOV Vladislav 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.