THRUST FALL ROC/RYC w/Veterans and Y8

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, November 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
3 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
3 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
5 CANDESCU Cristian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
6 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
7 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 17%
8 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
9 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
10 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
11 CHAN Tyler 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
12 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
13 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% 1%
14 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 2%
15 WU Wesley E. 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
16 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
17 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
18 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
19 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
20 HU Robin 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14% 1%
21 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
22 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
23 SCHULTES Evans 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
24 REGE Advaith 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 3%
25 LIAO Alex J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
26 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
27 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
28 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
29 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
30 SHA Yi Peng 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
31 LIU Eric P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
32 WEINKOPF William O. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
33 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
34 LEE Daniel C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
35 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
36 LE Vyn A. 100% 98% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
37 BATRAK Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
38 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
39 BADRIGIAN William H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
40 ORTIZ Zachary M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
41 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
42 JACKSON Malcolm 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
43 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
44 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 93% 60% 23% 5% - -
45 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
45 MUNDAHL Brandon D. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
47 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
48 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
49 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
50 BICKFORD Michael S. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
51 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 93% 58% 18% 3% - -
52 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
53 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
54 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 79% 27% 4% - - -
55 KIZHNER Fillip 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
56 ZHAO Jesse 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
57 GALBAN Matthias L. 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% - -
58 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
59 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
60 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 86% 49% 15% 3% - -
61 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
62 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
63 GEORGE Michael 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
64 VALENTON Timothy 100% 46% 7% - - - -
65 HENSLEY Todd 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
66 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
67 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
68 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
69 BAO Wenyuan 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
70 YU Dale 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
71 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
71 STRAYER Andrew 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
73 KEANNA Peter 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
74 MUNDAHL Morgan K. 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% - -
75 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 22% 2% - - - -
75 BARRAL FLOC'H Roman 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.