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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Durkan Rooster Div 1A ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, May 22, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Durkan Fencing Academy - Garfield, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. - - - - 5% 32% 63%
2 JING Emily - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
3 JING Alexandra - - - 3% 22% 46% 29%
3 TAN Kaitlyn N. - 1% 12% 33% 38% 15%
5 FANG Sabrina - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
6 STAMOS Maria - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
7 GAYDOS Sofia C. - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
8 YU Lauren C. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
9 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
10 LINALDI Liana M. - - - 4% 25% 47% 24%
11 LI Rachel Y. - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
12 DAVIA Daniella V. - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
13 KOENIG Charlotte R. - - 2% 14% 42% 34% 8%
14 CHO Rebecca H. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
15 SHEN Lydia - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
16 PAHLAVI Dahlia 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1%
17 ZHANG Alina C. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
18 SERBAN Samantha M. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
19 JANG Kimberley - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
20 XUE Alanna L. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
21 LEE Lavender 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
22 CHEN Jia P. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
23 ROY Layla 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
24 SUN Ruoxi - 1% 9% 32% 41% 15% 1%
25 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 3% 22% 42% 26% 6% 1% -
26 CHEN Allison V. - 2% 13% 35% 39% 10%
27 MILLER Naomi E. - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
28 CHOW Annabelle 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
29 SHAW Kayla M. - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
30 YANG Lingting 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
31 LIU Angel(Daying) - 4% 22% 42% 27% 5% -
32 ZHENG Julie 16% 46% 29% 8% 1% -
33 SEO Irene Y. 1% 8% 32% 42% 16% 2% -
34 SHENG Chuxi 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
35 GU Emily 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
36 HUANG Natalie 13% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
37 COSTELLO Angeline S. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
38 MEYER Claudia 15% 45% 31% 8% 1% - -
39 WU Julianna Y. - 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
40 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie - 6% 25% 40% 25% 5%
41 HSIEH Rebecca 52% 39% 8% 1% - -
42 EYER Hailey M. - - 1% 9% 34% 46% 10%
43 XU Christine - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
44 DU Hannah 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
45 SCARLETT Skye 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
46 TURNER Stephanie E. 14% 47% 32% 7% 1% - -
47 ASCHETTINO Aurora 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
48 ZHAO Aileen Y. 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
49 WONG Sophia M. 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
50 SIMONOV Dasha 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
50 JIANG Claire 55% 37% 7% - - - -
52 SHMAY Anastasia 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
53 PAULUS Isabella 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
54 SHA Yi Ling 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
55 WU Renee 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
56 LIU Sophia 45% 41% 12% 1% - -
57 LEE Ariana 2% 18% 44% 30% 6% - -
58 HUNT Abigail S. 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
58 MARKOVSKY Nina 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.