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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	KRASTEV Minna	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
2	TONG Jessie	-	2%	12%	31%	38%	17%
3	CHIN Sophia J.	-	1%	8%	29%	41%	21%
3	ERIKSON Kira R.	-	1%	9%	32%	42%	16%
5	KER Grace	-	-	1%	9%	37%	53%
5	GHAYALOD Reya	-	-	1%	8%	35%	56%
7	ANDRES Charmaine G.	-	-	1%	8%	36%	56%
8	HWANG Gabriela M.	-	-	1%	12%	40%	46%
9	CHO Michelle	1%	12%	36%	36%	13%	1%
10	CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C.	1%	8%	29%	40%	20%	3%
11	SCHMIDT Isabel	-	5%	23%	41%	26%	4%
12	ZHANG XUANYI	-	2%	14%	37%	38%	9%
13	BARNOVITZ Maya	-	2%	16%	40%	35%	7%
14	YAM Danika	-	3%	18%	42%	31%	7%
15	LIU Sydney	-	9%	37%	39%	14%	1%
16	SOWERS Lia	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%
17	NGUYEN Siena	-	2%	13%	36%	38%	10%
18	YANG Lea	-	3%	14%	33%	36%	14%
19	HUAI Delilah	1%	8%	29%	40%	20%	2%
20	HU Michelle	-	5%	22%	40%	28%	5%
21	GOMES Diana C.	1%	10%	32%	38%	17%	2%
22	TUNG Renee	14%	38%	34%	13%	2%	-
23	GRULICH Rayaana	2%	12%	31%	35%	18%	3%
24	RAMIREZ Mirka A.	-	4%	25%	43%	24%	3%
24	TAN Adelyn	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
26	WANG Zidan	1%	11%	34%	37%	15%	2%
27	STONE Coral	10%	35%	37%	15%	3%	-
28	GAUTAM Sahana	4%	22%	39%	27%	7%	-
29	FENG Alicia G.	6%	31%	40%	20%	4%	-
30	PANIGRAHI Kingsley	5%	23%	36%	26%	8%	1%
31	HITOMI Nadya	2%	17%	39%	32%	10%	1%
32	GOSAVI Aabolee	58%	34%	7%	1%	-	-
33	BROCK Sydney	2%	15%	36%	35%	12%	1%
34	YAO Rainie	1%	48%	39%	11%	1%	-
35	SAWANT Asmi	37%	44%	16%	2%	-	-
36	LO Chloe	26%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-
37	GOLOVITSER Maya	34%	44%	19%	3%	-	-
38	WANG Peijia	22%	46%	26%	5%	-	-
39	WANG Jingming	20%	45%	28%	7%	1%	-
40	YANG JIAQI KIKI	12%	35%	36%	15%	2%	-
41	JENSEN Katrina	97%	3%	-	-	-	-
42	GOURNEAU Sophie L.	18%	44%	29%	8%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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