The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Collegiate Cup RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, May 21, 2022 at 1:00 PM

RIMAC Arena @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
2 SINGHA Orion - - < 1% 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 ZHENG Haoran - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
5 SARKAR agniv - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
6 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
7 GAO Chaney C. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
8 WANG DEVON - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
9 HIGGINS Branford - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
10 JIN daniel - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
11 FU Leon - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
12 WATT Darren 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
13 ALVAREZ Ian T. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
14 WRIGHT Christopher 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 6%
15 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
16 KIM Sullivan 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
17 SARKAR Anish - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
18 DRIBIN Ezra - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
19 SCHROEDER Dylan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
20 KHANNA Nikhil - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
21 PHUKAN Rohin 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 5%
22 DOWDELL Riley 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
23 KNUDSEN Travis 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
24 PARK Augustine 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
25 WANG owen - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
26 LO Jake - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
27 LEE Chun Po 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
28 CHEN Zhengyang 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
29 RICHARDS Jackson D. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
29 ANDERSON Kai 5% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1%
31 MCDONALD Ethan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
32 MENDOZA Zander 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% -
33 BAZHENOV Anthony 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
34 GALLO James - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
35 DEKERMANJI Christopher - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
36 DE LA TORRE PEREZ Jesus Adiel 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
37 ZHANG Alec - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
38 PRAKASH Hari 4% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
39 KIM Nathan - 3% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
40 EVERS Gabriel 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2%
41 LIU Yikun 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
42 LIU Noah 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
43 LOFTUS Luca 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
44 CHEN Bailey 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
45 GAO Zachary 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
46 JU Hanul 14% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
47 YU Austin 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
48 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
49 GUPTA Karan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
50 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
51 BURLING Trenor 4% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
52 PAK Elliot 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
53 DONAHUE Lake 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
54 POSSON Luke - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
55 CHEN Josh 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
56 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
57 OBERDERFER Vladimir 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
58 MIAO Kunqi 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
59 KIM Justin 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.