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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHEN Allison V.	-	-	-	4%	21%	44%	31%
2	CHUSID Mikayla	-	-	-	3%	18%	43%	36%
3	YU Lauren C.	-	1%	8%	29%	39%	20%	3%
3	CHO Rebecca H.	-	-	5%	25%	44%	26%
5	EYER Hailey M.	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
6	SHEN Lydia	-	-	-	1%	10%	37%	52%
7	XIANG Emma	-	-	6%	24%	40%	25%	5%
8	LIU Angel(Daying)	-	-	4%	22%	39%	28%	6%
9	WU Celine	-	-	5%	23%	40%	26%	5%
10	SIMONOV Dasha	-	-	4%	22%	49%	25%
11	SOLDATOVA Maria	-	3%	12%	28%	33%	20%	5%
12	KOKES Gwendolen	-	2%	11%	26%	33%	21%	6%
13	CHEN Jasmine	16%	37%	31%	13%	3%	-	-
14	TOBIN Brean	8%	31%	40%	19%	3%	-
15	LEE Lavender	-	5%	21%	37%	28%	8%
16	CHARALEL Jessica	1%	15%	37%	32%	12%	2%	-
17	ORVANANOS Anice	-	-	2%	12%	34%	38%	14%
18	HUANG NATALIE	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	11%
19	SEO IRENE Y.	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	14%
20	KULKARNI Sohah A.	-	-	8%	30%	39%	20%	3%
21	RASO Olivia	-	1%	9%	28%	39%	21%	3%
22	SHMAY Anastasia	1%	5%	20%	34%	27%	11%	2%
23	WILLIS Fletcher L.	-	3%	21%	41%	29%	6%
24	SHA Yi Ling	1%	11%	32%	35%	17%	3%
25	LIN Victoria T.	-	3%	23%	40%	26%	7%	1%
26	ROY Layla	1%	5%	18%	31%	29%	14%	3%
27	WANG Jasmine	-	3%	23%	42%	27%	5%
28	LIU Sophia	-	5%	29%	42%	21%	3%
29	THIRUVENGADAM Harini	29%	51%	18%	2%	-	-
30	SEAH Dana	9%	30%	35%	19%	5%	1%	-
31	HUNT Abigail S.	9%	34%	37%	17%	4%	-
32	LENZ Zoe N.	2%	15%	38%	35%	9%	1%
33	FURST Chloe	-	4%	28%	41%	22%	5%	-
34	MARKOVSKY Nina	1%	13%	43%	32%	9%	1%	-
35	KIM Raiden	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	7%	1%
36	GOLBIN Ariella J.	16%	38%	33%	12%	1%	-
37	LEE Kaitlyn	43%	45%	10%	1%	-	-
38	LIU Maggie	13%	36%	35%	14%	2%	-
39	PAULUS Isabella	2%	22%	40%	27%	8%	1%	-
40	UNGERER Frieda	33%	52%	13%	1%	-	-	-
41	LEE DAYOUNG	57%	37%	6%	-	-	-	-
42	ZHENG Julie	< 1%	3%	13%	30%	33%	18%	4%
43	YU Hannah	45%	40%	13%	2%	-	-
44	YU Esther J.	20%	55%	22%	3%	-	-	-
45	STIEGELMAIER AnnaGrace	64%	30%	5%	-	-	-	-
46	JIN Wendy	47%	45%	7%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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