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Windy City SYC/RCC 5

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, November 22, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Deerfield, IL - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	PRASAD Ankith	-	-	-	1%	7%	33%	58%
2	GOHEL Dayus T.	-	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	28%
3	LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA	-	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	31%
3	WRIGHT Christopher	-	1%	10%	31%	40%	18%
5	KULIKOWSKI Adam J.	-	-	3%	19%	44%	34%
6	LIU Yichen	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	5%	-
7	AGAON Shawn	-	2%	11%	28%	36%	20%	3%
8	MCKEEVER Luca	-	3%	15%	34%	35%	13%
9	LEONE III Charles D.	-	-	5%	21%	43%	31%
10	AGAON Ethan	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	22%
11	KOKENGE Reid	1%	7%	22%	35%	26%	8%	1%
12	VEZMAR Evan H.	-	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	12%
13	DENNIS Ethan	-	1%	7%	23%	37%	26%	6%
14	LEE Seungwon	-	2%	16%	40%	34%	9%
15	NIKOLOV Peter	3%	17%	33%	30%	13%	3%	-
16	SONG Alexander	13%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-
17	PRABHAKAR vibhav	4%	20%	35%	28%	11%	1%
18	KHANNA Nikhil	1%	7%	26%	38%	23%	5%
19	CHIMOSKEY Finn D.	1%	6%	21%	34%	27%	10%	1%
20	NGUYEN Tate	1%	7%	26%	39%	23%	5%
21	MILLER Lance W.	8%	32%	38%	18%	4%	-
22	DAO Alexander	12%	33%	34%	17%	4%	-
23	BROWN Hunter	14%	37%	33%	13%	3%	-	-
24	WEI Michael	2%	15%	35%	34%	13%	2%
25	WOLFE Alex	2%	14%	40%	33%	10%	1%
26	YAO Geoffrey B.	-	1%	11%	36%	39%	12%
27	LOISEAU Eliott	7%	25%	35%	24%	8%	1%	-
28	O'DONNELL Benjamin	-	5%	20%	38%	29%	7%
29	SCOFIELD Thien J.	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	4%
30	AGARWAL Adheesh	36%	43%	17%	3%	-	-
31	TIKHOMIROV Theodore	5%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%	-
32	BUTLER Miles	9%	62%	26%	3%	-	-
33	SONN Rohan	-	1%	6%	21%	37%	28%	7%
34	SHA Michael	2%	16%	37%	32%	12%	1%
35	SCHWAN Ethan	62%	32%	6%	-	-	-
36	KOZAKIEWICZ Filip	4%	18%	34%	29%	13%	2%	-
37	COUSINS Cameron	2%	12%	29%	33%	19%	5%	-
38	ROBERTS Magnus	15%	41%	32%	10%	1%	-
39	DIVERIS Joseph	18%	37%	30%	12%	2%	-	-
40	CHIN Dylan A.	5%	22%	37%	26%	9%	1%	-
41	LAZARRE Alex	12%	32%	34%	17%	5%	1%	-
42	COPEN Samuel S.	4%	20%	35%	28%	11%	2%	-
43	SILVERS Ari	< 1%	4%	17%	34%	33%	12%
44	LOWENSTEIN Isaac	46%	40%	13%	2%	-	-
45	PEMPEK Quintin L.	15%	35%	32%	14%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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