The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

April Championship and NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, April 12, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAGUNIS Mariel L. - 1% 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
2 THOMPSON Kamali A. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
3 RUSSO Francesca - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
3 MICHEL Violet N. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
5 BURKE Nora S. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
6 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - 3% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 CZYZEWSKI Veronica O. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
8 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
9 SHELTON Aleksandra - - 1% 5% 19% 40% 36%
10 JENKINS Ryan J. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
11 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
12 LINDER Kara E. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
13 ADYNSKI Gillian I. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
14 KONG Vera - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
15 MENTZER Katherine 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
16 HIRSCH Sydney R. 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
17 TIMOFEYEV Daniella - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
18 MERZA Celina - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
19 LU Vivian Y. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
20 GREENBAUM Atara R. 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
21 LITYNSKI Jacqueline Z. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
22 POSSICK Lola P. - 4% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3%
23 THEODORE Maria A. - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
24 HOFFMAN Ilsa L. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
25 KIM Zoe 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
26 CHEN Erin Y. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
27 MILLER Sky - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
28 LIANG Megan - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
29 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
30 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
31 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
32 WHANG Rebecca 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
33 GOUHIN Chloe - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
34 JENKINS Morgan J. 1% 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
35 PARKER Abigale B. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
36 ANGLADE Alexis C. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
37 WHITE Amber L. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
38 HARRILL Gillian N. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
39 OISHI Megumi 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
40 CHERNOMORSKY Maria 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
41 BERMAN Stella 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
42 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
43 GREENBAUM Ella K. 6% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
44 LACSON Sarah 13% 39% 34% 13% 2% -
45 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 37% 41% 17% 3% - -
46 HE Charlotte 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
47 REDDY Shreya 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
48 SHEALY Maggie 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
49 TANG Catherine H. 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
50 YUN Joy - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
51 MOYA Keona L. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
52 TONG Kunling 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
53 HUNTER Nina B. 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
54 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
55 JOHNSON Edith (Tori) V. - < 1% 5% 24% 43% 27%
56 FREEDMAN Janna N. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
57 HASSAN Aziza R. 3% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
58 KIM Catherine 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
59 LEE Alexandra B. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
60 WU Erica L. 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
61 BROWNE Alexis G. 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
61 OXENSTIERNA Carolina 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -
63 HOOGENDOORN Levi 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
64 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
64 ROH Rachel E. 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
66 YURT Leyla 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
67 WANG Caroline Y. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.