March NAC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Friday, March 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
2 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
5 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 28%
6 WANG Ziqi 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
7 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
8 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
9 SENYUVA Su 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 10%
10 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
11 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
12 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
13 BARNOW Sasha 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
14 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
15 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
16 YOU Emily 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
17 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
18 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
19 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
20 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
21 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
22 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 37% 8%
23 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 3%
24 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
25 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
26 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
27 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 68% 24% 4% - < 1% -
28 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
29 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 3%
30 ZHAO Angela 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
31 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
32 GEVA Eliana 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 13% 1%
33 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
34 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
35 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
36 LEE Claire 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 18% 2%
37 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
38 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 3%
39 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
40 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
40 LIU Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
40 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% -
43 YOU Isabel B. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
44 ZHAN Nancy 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
45 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23% 3%
46 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
47 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 3%
47 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
49 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
50 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
51 LI Yuhe 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
51 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
53 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
54 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
55 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
56 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
57 WANG Victoria 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
58 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
59 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
59 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% -
61 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 94% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
62 QIU Emily 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
63 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
64 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
65 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
66 LISCUM Vivian 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
67 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
68 REKEDA Anna 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
69 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
70 MIRZA Annoshae 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
71 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
72 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
73 MCKENNA Analise 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
74 VARAN Kateryna 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
75 SYKES Elynor 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
76 HAYNES Antonia 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 2%
77 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 17% 2%
78 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
79 CUEVA Viola 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
80 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
80 KOMAROW Anastasia 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
82 LIN Ariel 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 3% -
83 WANG Ziqiao 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
84 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 98% 78% 28% 4% - -
85 WRIGHT Madison 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
86 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 94% 63% 20% 3% - -
87 WANG Sara 100% 96% 62% 20% 3% - -
88 KUMAR Anusha 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
89 HOY Emmarose 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
90 PETROFF Gabrielle 100% 28% 3% - - - -
90 NOH Rachel 100% 72% 20% 2% - - -
92 SUN Zeyu 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
93 MOLLINIER Anais 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
94 BI Michelle 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
95 JI Catherine 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
96 CHANG Abigail 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
97 CHUANG Ramona 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% - -
97 BO GENESIS 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
99 WANG Sijia 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
100 IYER Ishana 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
101 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
101 FANG Jocelyn 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
103 SCHMITT Harper 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2% -
104 TOSH Audrey 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
105 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
106 DAGLI Saira Veronica 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
107 LY Hannah 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
108 LOZIER Grace 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
109 GUAN Isabella 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
110 KIM Kailyn 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
111 KANASKAR Ila 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
112 YERIAN Ayda 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
112 MEZACK Nicole 100% 98% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
114 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
115 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
115 NGUYEN Ella 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
117 ZAIDI Maira 100% 75% 26% 4% - - -
118 FORDER Isabel 100% 81% 35% 6% - - -
119 FANG jenna kim 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.