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March NAC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Ethan - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 YAO Bradley - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
3 LING Eddie - - 4% 25% 49% 21%
3 NGUYEN martin 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
5 WONG Jackson - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
6 ZHANG Aaron - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
7 NICOLETTI Luca - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
8 CHENG Ethan - 1% 8% 32% 43% 16%
9 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 1% 16% 83%
10 QIAN Jason H. - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
11 FUKUDA Diego - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
12 WU Alber Y. - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
13 LEE Brendan - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
14 LIU Ethan - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
15 LIU Derek - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
16 LO Preston - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
17 XU Andy P. - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
18 SUAREZ Adrian - 1% 9% 33% 41% 17%
19 YI William - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
20 GULCHIN Mark - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
21 FEDELI Francesco - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
22 ZHAO Adam 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
23 LI Aaron - - 5% 26% 47% 22%
23 YU Jason - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
25 ZHAO Nathan - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
26 GHEDINI Luca - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 16%
27 MAO Lucas - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
28 MORROW Brenden - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
29 RAJ Jay - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
30 TANG Terry - - 4% 21% 42% 31% 2%
31 LI Bradley - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
32 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
33 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
34 CHEN Kyle P. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
35 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
36 KIM Daniel Y. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
37 KOE Beckett 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
38 GUTH Joseph - - 2% 11% 35% 38% 13%
39 DOELL Ethan - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
40 RASMUSSEN Sage - - 7% 28% 43% 22%
41 KIAYIAS Aris - 2% 14% 41% 34% 8%
42 CHINO CONSTANTIN - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
43 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 5%
44 MARTIN Darius - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
45 SENIC Lucas - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
46 TSAY Jordan R. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
46 SIMONOV Timofey - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
48 YANG Charles 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
49 CHEN Ethan - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% 1%
50 ALLEN Henry G. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
51 HOU Gaven 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
52 TAN Aidan - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
53 SION Andrew 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
54 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
55 DESERANNO Leander 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
56 LIU ERIC 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
57 GERRISH William - 2% 18% 40% 32% 8%
58 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
59 LEE Christopher T. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
60 TANG Alexander L. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
61 PARRISH Evan - 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
62 MO Ethan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
63 TWEMLOW Sacha 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
64 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 3% 20% 41% 29% 6%
65 WONG Jacob W. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
66 CHO Xzander 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
67 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
68 SUI Samuel 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
69 BORG Matthew - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% 1%
70 JIN Andy 4% 23% 42% 25% 6% -
71 ZENG Rick 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
72 PARK Rion 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
73 ADAN Jacobo 6% 28% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
74 VADEN Oliver 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
75 LEE Charles T 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
76 DE LAUZON AUGUSTIN 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
77 ZHANG Alex - 5% 31% 41% 20% 3%
78 WONG Evan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
79 LU Kevin 1% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
80 CHUANG Oscar 1% 9% 36% 41% 13% 1%
81 CHANG Eric Jonathan 3% 20% 40% 29% 7% 1%
82 CHANG Jeremy 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
83 MASSIMINO Andrew 17% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
84 SIMMES Jackson 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
85 SHANNON Jack 27% 51% 19% 2% - -
86 ZHANG Lucas 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
87 PARK Sangmin (Steve) - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
88 FUKUDA Brando 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
89 FOGELSON Hugh 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
89 TOOMRE Kai 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
91 ZHAO Ryan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
92 CHENG Logan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
93 DERRICK Blake - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
94 ZHANG Max 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
95 HUA Aaron 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
96 CHUN Dashel 14% 45% 31% 8% 1% - -
97 LU Alex - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
98 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
99 TANG Royce 1% 14% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
99 ZHANG Graham 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
101 NGAI Julian - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
102 PAN Edwin 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
102 LE Jacob H. 2% 16% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
102 SHENG Dalton - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
105 SUAREZ David 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
106 MORROW Sean 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
107 HE Kyle 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
108 WEI JR Shan 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
109 YU ShiYu (Henry) 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% - -
110 POLEBOYINA Amrit 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
111 WANDJI Noah 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
112 DHOKTE Neev 1% 9% 39% 40% 11% 1%
113 BIELER Mason 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
114 LU Nathan 32% 45% 20% 3% - -
115 MARISI Gabriel 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
116 YU ShiLin (Harry) 28% 46% 22% 4% - -
117 PETROV Mikhail 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
118 XIE Jicheng 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
119 PARK William 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
120 QIAN Zekai 11% 44% 34% 10% 1% - -
121 MARTIRE Luca 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
122 WU Thomas 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
123 YU William 21% 49% 25% 5% 1% - -
124 HONG Logan 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
124 YU Rainger 60% 34% 6% - - - -
126 HUANG Jinyao 12% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
127 POPOKH Luca 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
128 ABRAMKIN Tim 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
129 SUNDSTROM Wren 45% 44% 10% 1% - -
130 ZHOU Alex 11% 60% 25% 4% - -
131 HE Ryan 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
132 SHAW Spencer 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
133 ZMUDA Aiden 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
134 MOREA Anderson 11% 36% 38% 14% 2% - -
134 ZHENG Marcus 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
136 SISINNI Leonardo 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
137 KRZYWON Dylan 79% 20% 1% - - -
138 NOLAN Tyler 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
139 MAZAHERI Fletcher 6% 28% 41% 22% 3% -
140 XU Nathan 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.