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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

March NAC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUAI Delilah - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 BERMAN greta - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
3 HU Anna - 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
5 ARNOLD Hali - - 2% 8% 25% 39% 25%
6 SENOGLU Irmak - 1% 10% 30% 41% 19%
7 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
8 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
9 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
10 KURAEVA Vasilisa - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
11 KINKADE Ellie - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
12 ZENG Sarah - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
13 MALEK Zolie 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
14 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - 1% 6% 22% 40% 30%
15 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
16 SHEARER Alena - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
17 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
18 GOLDIN Nina 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
19 BERRIOS Catalina 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
20 WEI JoyAnn - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
21 TENG EMMA 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
22 DANTULURI Shalini - 1% 7% 23% 37% 25% 6%
23 DHAR Layla - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
24 FERNANDEZ Martina 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
25 HAMMERSTROM Aria 4% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
26 CHAN Jolene - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
27 LIU Kelly - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
28 CHAN Madeleine V. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
29 HSU leah 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
30 LIU Yifei - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
31 CHIANG Melissa 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
32 MYAT Chloe - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
33 GAUTAM Sahana - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
34 WANG Callie 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
35 SHEN Emily 2% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
36 CHAVAN Arya 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
37 LEE Tammy 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
38 GONZALEZ Veronika 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
39 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
40 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
41 FUNG Iris - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 7%
42 LOO Kaitlyn - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
43 TA-ZHOU Emma 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% - -
44 BERNARD Kathryn 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
45 XIONG Alina 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
46 CROOKS Riley 21% 40% 29% 9% 1%
47 FAVO Isabella 9% 31% 37% 19% 4%
48 CASTELO Soleil 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
49 BORGUETA Madison 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
50 KANG Ellie - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
51 STONE Coral 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
52 MANSPERGER Gia 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
53 LEOU Korina 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
54 MARAGH Farrah E. 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
55 BLAKE Anna - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
56 MEYERSON Michelle 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
57 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
58 DAVIDOVA Kira 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
59 GUGALA Hanna 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
60 FAN Alexandria 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1%
61 BAO Jingxuan 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
62 ROOPRAI Amarjot 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
63 WANG JiaQi 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
64 KU Alathea-Joy 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
65 MUNGUIA Mila 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
66 TONG Laurie 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
67 FOSS Persephone 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
68 HAN Emma 46% 39% 12% 2% - -
69 GONG Joy 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
70 LIANG Claire 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
71 NEMORIN Rei 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
72 HILD Anya 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
73 WANG YueHan 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
74 YANG Shanzhen 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
75 BUSH Bethany 4% 20% 38% 30% 9%
76 DHAR Rana 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
76 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
78 WENG Amber 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
79 WANG Jiayi 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
80 HO Sophia 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.