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The Duelist Open 22

Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Bellevile High School Gymnasium - Belleville, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 SILVERS Ari - - 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
3 POON Alvin - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
3 PRABHAKAR Vibhav - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
5 HAW Keith F. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
6 BROOKS Zachary B. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
7 ELYADERANI Paxon - - 4% 29% 46% 21%
8 SONN Rohan 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
9 MICKO Fritz K. - 5% 25% 46% 23%
10 MCKEEVER Luca - - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
11 HEIM Bryce - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
12 GOHSMAN Maxwell 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1%
13 WILKINSON Derek H. - 5% 26% 45% 25%
14 ELTERMAN Lev - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
15 SWANSON Dave - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
16 DITTEL Aaron K. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
17 OCHS Bradley C. 7% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
18 BECKER Thomas - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
19 NORCONK Claire R. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
20 RIVERA Ricky N. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
21 JANYSKA Allen 2% 20% 52% 23% 3% -
22 ASGARALLY Anthony 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
23 KLINE R. Jay - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
24 VELINOV Gabriel 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
25 DALTON Matthew 13% 45% 33% 9% 1%
26 OWENS Andrew J. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
27 KWOK Roland - 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
28 MITTAL Sanil - 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
29 BROWN Amanda 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
30 VUKELICH Daniel 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
31 DEPAUW Devan 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
32 HADD Jonathon 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
33 WIDMANN Ceili 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
34 ECKEL Anson J. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
35 SKOURLETOS Angelina 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
36 BERTRAND Matthew T. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
37 JONES Reilly 1% 9% 29% 38% 18% 4% -
38 CACCAMO Nicholas 1% 12% 51% 31% 5% - -
39 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 1% 9% 29% 38% 21% 4%
40 KIM Sebastian 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
41 GREEN Scott D. 2% 29% 42% 22% 5% - -
42 LI Qiuye - 2% 11% 28% 36% 19% 4%
43 HOORNSTRA David S. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
44 KOKA Ashwin 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
45 MURRAY John P. 10% 36% 37% 15% 2%
46 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
47 MITKUS Marianne J. 12% 51% 30% 6% - -
48 GREEN Zachary J. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
49 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
50 FAGERHAUG Aubrey R. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
51 MCGRATH Polina S. 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
52 GERTISER Amalie (Amy) C. 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
53 LIEBER Adam 18% 47% 28% 6% -
54 LAPP Laurie E. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
55 ZEHE Michele A. 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
56 BAKKE Alexander 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
57 ELTERMAN Kate 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
58 TURZILLO Mary A. 82% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.