The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
2 TSE Angelina - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 BUHAY Kirsten M. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
3 SCHMIDT Isabel - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
5 MANN Sophia J. - - 2% 15% 40% 35% 9%
6 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
7 LO Chloe - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
8 YAM Danika - - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
9 YU Zhiang - - 1% 11% 35% 40% 13%
10 ZOLLER Noelle - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
11 CHAN Jolene - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
12 WANG Jingming - 6% 24% 37% 26% 7% -
13 TAN Adelyn - 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
14 FENG Alicia G. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
15 LI Sonia - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
16 CHEN Elaine 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
17 BUCKHOUSE Talia - 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
18 HUYANG xinke 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
19 LOMOTAN Addison - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
20 TENG EMMA - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
21 NAVARRO LARIOS KATE - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
22 MUNGUIA Mila 1% 6% 24% 39% 23% 6% -
23 WANG Jiayi 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
24 LIN Annika 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
25 LIU Hannah - 1% 7% 24% 39% 27% 3%
26 LEE Irene 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
27 CHEN Colette - 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
28 BAO Jingxuan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
29 LIAO Jieni - 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
30 DUDNICK Morgan - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
31 WANG Peijia 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
32 ZHAO Abbie 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
33 CAI Veronica 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
34 LEE Madeleine 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
35 JENSEN Katrina 86% 13% 1% - - - -
36 HAN Emma 23% 51% 21% 4% - - -
37 GAN Shelby 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
38 LIU Emily 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
39 BAIRD Kaleah 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
40 PHAN Genevieve 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
41 BALUJA Emma 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
42 LIU kai yin aria 50% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.