The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
2 LIN Elaine - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
3 TENG EMMA 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
5 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
6 LEE Irene 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
7 WANG Jiayi 55% 36% 9% 1% - < 1% -
8 SUNG Isabella - 2% 10% 26% 37% 23% 3%
9 WU Daisy - - 1% 5% 19% 40% 34%
10 LIU kai yin aria 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
11 NING Lynn - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
12 CAI Joanna 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
13 CAI Veronica 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
14 LONG Jessie 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
15 TONG Laurie 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
16 LI Tiffany - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
17 HSIEH Lucia - 1% 6% 24% 37% 26% 6%
18 JOHNSON Heaven - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
19 VENNE Sophie 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
20 SHEN Elise 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
21 GONG suri 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
22 LONG Chloe 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
23 DANG Madeleine 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
24 DING Jolie - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
25 GROSSMAN Elizabeth - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
26 STAPLEY Claire 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
27 WANG Makayla 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
27 ROXWORTHY Chloe 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.