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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Épée

Monday, September 5, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEE yat ching - - - 6% 31% 63%
2 BAKSA Frances E. - - - 6% 34% 60%
3 SANTA Bianca Estefania - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
3 NGUYEN Audrey - - 1% 17% 51% 31%
5 PELLICIER Adriana M. - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
6 MOON Seojung - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
7 GASPAR Paula 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
8 DONGES Anna 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 5%
9 SPURLIN Alicen - - 3% 19% 48% 30%
10 BYBEE Lucy J. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
11 FRAGER Soleil 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
12 WONG Caitlin 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
13 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. - 4% 22% 45% 24% 4%
14 FIGUEROA Mariah 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
15 DIAZ Nivia 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
16 MIHALIK Alva 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
17 RILEY Grace 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
18 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah - 4% 26% 46% 20% 3%
19 NIEMAN Aubrey 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
20 CHIN Sia 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
21 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
22 WANG Zarina 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
23 FORDER Isabel 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
24 ROMERO KURI Celeste - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
25 ROZET Alice 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
26 MCCREARY Madeleine 24% 45% 25% 5% - -
27 NIEMAN Anjolie 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
28 TANGUAY Brooke 4% 26% 45% 22% 3% -
29 FERNLUND Helen 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
30 WILFORD Madigan 19% 46% 29% 5% - -
31 RODA Thaleia 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
32 FORTIER Adriana 11% 39% 39% 10% 1% -
33 DAVIS Shanna 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
34 DE SOLO Elizabeth 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% -
35 MARTIN Audrey 46% 44% 10% 1% - -
36 DAVIS Elisabeth 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.