The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

April Championship and NAC

Div III Women's Épée

Sunday, April 14, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CASTANEDA Erika L. - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
2 REID Sobia - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
3 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. - - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
3 RUSSELL Renata - 2% 13% 39% 36% 9%
5 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
6 SLAGLE Mariah - - 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
7 DARANOUVONG Logan - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
8 TOMASELLO Olivia E. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
9 PALMER Amelia C. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
10 WEBER Nora - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
11 RASMUSSEN Ashelee - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
12 GERARDIN Marie - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
13 FENG Kelly L. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
14 MAO Amy - 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
15 DING Sandra - 5% 22% 37% 27% 7%
16 SON Katherine (Injee) - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
17 ZHANG Rachel - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
18 EBRAHIM Ameera H. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
19 LI AnnieSiliang - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
20 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
21 RYAN Minhuey - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
22 BYRON Karen J. 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
23 BELSLEY Devon K. - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
24 CAMERON Maya 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
25 MASTRONARDI Laura 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
26 HUANG audrey 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
27 MOK Chloe R. 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
27 PARTE Isabella B. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
29 OGANESIAN Alice N. 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
30 CHEN Jephanie Y. 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
31 SCHLIEP Anna J. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 19%
32 SCHMUGAR Brooke - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
33 CHRISTIAN Lyn T. 1% 20% 37% 28% 11% 2% -
34 GREGSTON Lailia B. 2% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
35 SHAH Chloe 19% 41% 29% 10% 1% -
36 DU Yiyun (Doreen) 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
37 DEVLIN Wilhelmina - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
38 CAREY Michele S. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
39 DRONAMRAJU Navya - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
40 DU Angela 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
41 JI Catherine - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
42 LI Tiffany 13% 39% 36% 10% 1% -
43 YOUNG Kaitlin 2% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
44 MOHEBI Sue 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
45 DUAN Jenny S. - 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% -
46 ROWLAND May 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
47 DANIEL Olivia - 1% 7% 27% 44% 20%
48 ESTRADA Anna G. 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
49 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
50 NICOU Nicole 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
51 WATTS Reganne M. 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
52 INAMDAR Nina S. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
53 MCGARY Amy 17% 42% 30% 10% 2% - -
54 WILKENS Patricia A. 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
55 IVANOVA Olga 12% 48% 31% 8% 1% - -
56 RHEA Heather 66% 30% 4% - - - -
57 GROCE Linda J. 68% 28% 4% - - -
58 SIMARD Sherrol A. 75% 22% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.