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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHANG XUANYI	-	-	-	1%	11%	38%	50%
2	WEI JoyAnn	-	1%	6%	19%	34%	30%	10%
3	HSU leah	1%	9%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
3	VINOGOROVA Sofiia	-	2%	13%	32%	36%	15%	2%
5	KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra	-	-	5%	24%	43%	27%
6	TAN Adelyn	1%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
7	MEDVINSKY Alexandra	-	2%	11%	32%	40%	15%
8	KURAEVA Vasilisa	-	2%	10%	26%	35%	22%	5%
9	HUAI Delilah	-	-	5%	24%	43%	27%
10	FERNANDEZ Martina	-	2%	10%	29%	39%	19%
11	KONDEV Elizabeth	-	1%	8%	23%	35%	26%	7%
12	LIU Yifei	-	2%	15%	37%	35%	11%
13	WANG Callie	-	5%	21%	37%	29%	8%
14	LUKER Hannah	6%	24%	35%	25%	8%	1%	-
15	GUGALA Hanna	3%	18%	36%	31%	11%	1%
16	YOUNG Audrey	-	2%	11%	31%	38%	18%
17	CHIARELLI Valentina	-	-	4%	18%	43%	35%
18	GARRETT Madrid	-	2%	14%	36%	36%	12%
19	FENG Alicia G.	1%	7%	24%	37%	26%	6%
20	STONE Coral	-	5%	21%	36%	29%	8%
21	KHOST Maeve	-	23%	42%	27%	7%	1%
22	ZHAI AMY	18%	39%	31%	10%	1%	-
23	BUSH Bethany	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
24	LIN Nicole	-	3%	20%	39%	30%	8%
25	ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine)	3%	18%	34%	29%	13%	3%	-
26	HALPERIN Elizabeth H.	1%	7%	23%	34%	25%	9%	1%
27	BUCKHOUSE Talia	2%	14%	31%	32%	17%	4%	-
28	LOO Kaitlyn	1%	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%
29	CHAN Jolene	-	4%	20%	40%	29%	7%
30	DANTULURI Shalini	5%	24%	38%	26%	7%	1%
31	HAMMERSTROM Aria	-	19%	41%	30%	9%	1%
32	WANG Peijia	5%	25%	37%	25%	7%	1%
33	MEYERSON Michelle	4%	20%	36%	28%	10%	1%
34	NICHOLAS Eva	6%	24%	36%	25%	9%	1%	-
35	XU Kaylyn	27%	47%	21%	4%	-	-
36	KIM Karen	31%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-
37	NGUYEN Madeleine	11%	36%	35%	15%	3%	-
38	KWON Hannah	30%	42%	22%	6%	1%	-
39	KITSON Sasha	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	8%	-
40	BORGUETA Madison	9%	29%	35%	21%	6%	1%	-
41	KALINICHENKO Yekaterina	13%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-
42	WANG Jiayi	35%	41%	19%	4%	1%	-	-
43	LEE Tammy	38%	46%	14%	2%	-	-
44	SEO Yunseo	97%	3%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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