The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

North Texas Roundup SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Monday, September 5, 2022 at 12:30 PM

Arlington ESports Stadium - Arlington, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
2 WU Alber Y. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 CHOI Ethan - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 6%
3 PARRISH Evan - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
5 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
6 CHANG Jonathan - 1% 7% 28% 41% 21% 2%
7 ZHANG Jacob 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
8 GUTH Joseph - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
9 TSAY Jordan R. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
10 ZHANG Lucas - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
11 YANG Charles - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
12 LU Kevin - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
13 ZHAO Nathan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
14 FUKUDA Brando - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
15 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
16 FEDELI Francesco - - - < 1% 5% 30% 65%
17 CHOI Benjamin - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
18 BIELER Mason - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
19 LU Alex - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
20 CHEN Matthew 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
21 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
22 DHOKTE Neev 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
23 WONG Jacob W. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
24 HAYES Stewart - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
25 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
26 CHEN Hanson - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
27 REN Ryan - 6% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
28 YUE Jackson - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
29 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
30 KIAYIAS Alexander 17% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
31 CHUANG Oscar - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
32 RAU Shogun 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
33 ZHOU Shawn - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 1%
34 PARK William - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
35 HUANG Nathan 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
36 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 18% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
37 FOY Grant 68% 28% 4% - - - -
38 MAZAHERI Fletcher 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
39 QIAN Zekai 4% 30% 39% 21% 6% 1% -
40 YAN Rian 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
41 YE Jerry 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
42 JIN Xuechong Daniel 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
43 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
44 YOU Alan 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
45 FERGUSON Levi 2% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
46 CHEN Anson 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
47 KUANG Cyrus 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
48 POPOKH Luca 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% - -
49 WU Thomas 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
50 SANDEEP Varun 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
51 TEH Tang-Ngu 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
52 ALI Adam 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
53 DLUTOWSKI Zachary 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
54 DLUTOWSKI Alexander < 1% 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
55 MIRZA Aarish 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
56 HALL Fletcher 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.