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Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XIAO Ruien - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
2 LU Samantha R. - - 6% 26% 43% 24%
3 JAKEL Alysa C. - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
3 WITTER Catherine A. - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
5 YOU Emily - 1% 10% 32% 41% 17%
6 LIU Nicole - - 5% 30% 47% 18%
7 ZHU Serene M. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
8 PILSON Rebecca 6% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1%
9 ZANGA Kaitlyn 2% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
10 WONG Alexandra R. - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
11 PATIL Amulya - 5% 27% 41% 23% 4%
12 PEELER Julia - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
13 YANG Alisa - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
14 NIX Reagan 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
15 KUMAR Anusha 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
16 KEE Bea Isabelle 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
17 BROWN Hannah 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
18 HU Chelsea 2% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
19 QIU Emily - 5% 27% 40% 23% 4%
20 LUO Amy 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
21 LI Suri - 2% 14% 43% 34% 7%
22 RHEINECKER Claire 6% 32% 47% 14% 1% -
23 MURPHY Katherine 56% 37% 7% - - -
24 CUEVA Viola 21% 52% 23% 4% - -
25 WANG Zarina 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
26 LY Hannah 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
27 NIEMAN Aubrey 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
28 FORDER Isabel 52% 40% 8% 1% - -
29 KIM minchae 6% 53% 34% 6% - -
30 ARCHIE Julia 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.