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Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NIX Reagan - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 QIU Emily - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 LUO Amy - 1% 7% 29% 46% 18%
3 PATIL Amulya - - 1% 10% 41% 49%
5 KUMAR Anusha - - 2% 13% 40% 46%
6 LEE Gloria - - 5% 27% 48% 18%
7 XU Serena 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
8 PILSON Rebecca - - 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
9 WRIGHT Madison 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
10 CUEVA Viola - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
11 KROPP Anne - 10% 38% 39% 12% 1%
12 MURPHY Katherine 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
13 QI Julieanne - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
14 DESAI Ela 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
15 KRISHNA Rithika 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
16 LY Hannah - 11% 38% 38% 12% 1%
17 WORKNEH Lulit 2% 17% 40% 31% 8% 1%
18 GAVASHELI Margarita - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
19 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
20 JEYOON Lauren 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
21 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
22 ILYAS Ayah 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
23 CAMPBELL Eva 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
24 KANG Yenna 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
25 YAO Chloe 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
26 TOSH Audrey 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
27 LEVKOV Maita 74% 24% 2% - - -
28 LOZIER Grace 8% 46% 35% 9% 1% -
29 NAPOLI Eleanor 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
30 MIN Janice 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
30 LASCIALFARE Isabella 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
32 BURT Emmalyne Grace 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.