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Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Aidan - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
2 ROSE Ben - 5% 27% 43% 23% 3%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
3 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - 5% 24% 48% 23%
5 MOHAMED Murad - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
6 HO Jia Le Sean - - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
7 SHEPHERD Conner M. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
8 TIKHAEV Alexander 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% -
9 KEE Andrew L. - - - 4% 25% 51% 20%
10 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
11 JITTAN daniel - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
12 BUERGIN Aidan - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
13 KOBAL Maximilian - 1% 11% 36% 41% 12%
14 SICHITIU Alexander - 1% 10% 33% 44% 11%
15 STANLEY Mason B. - - - 4% 31% 64%
16 YAO Bradley 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
17 GRISWOLD Abel B. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
18 MOHAMED Amir - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
19 DRESSEL Jet 6% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
20 LI Matthew - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
21 HUANG Eythan - 3% 20% 46% 26% 4% -
22 WECHSLER Jacob 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
23 GAO William - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
24 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
25 KITAGAWA Eric S. - - 6% 28% 46% 18% 2%
26 KLOTZ Isaiah - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
27 WANG Winston 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
28 TANG August L. 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
29 KIM Minhyeok - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
30 TANG Albert 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
31 LEVY Jacob 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
32 CHOI JIAN 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
33 EMENHEISER Conrad - 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
34 PAN Henry - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
35 YAP Nathan 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
36 SONG Austin - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
37 KLYCZEK Andrew - 9% 37% 38% 13% 1%
38 DE COQUET Maximilian 1% 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
39 LI Lianhan 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
40 JIANG Bowang 16% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
41 MOE Annan 11% 52% 30% 6% - -
42 ZHANG Alex 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
43 MOORHOUSE Emmett 9% 47% 33% 9% 1% - -
44 BATRA Dev 12% 38% 38% 11% 1% - -
45 CAFFAREY Luke 25% 45% 25% 5% - - -
46 SMOLICH Marat 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
47 LEE Ethan 20% 46% 29% 5% - - -
48 DUSZA Zachery 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
49 KIM Donghyeok 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
50 CHEN Zixuan 72% 26% 2% - - - -
51 KRAMER Ryan 71% 27% 3% - - -
52 TSIMMERMAN Michael 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
53 LARSON Winston 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.