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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Virginia Tech Open 2022

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 11:30 AM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ISAACSON Bjorn - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
2 SEMP Brannon A. - - 4% 25% 50% 21%
3 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. - - 3% 20% 48% 29%
3 SNIVELY Mark C. - - 1% 13% 44% 42%
5 REEDER Nicholas W. 3% 24% 43% 25% 5% < 1%
6 SHANKS Aidan T. - 2% 14% 45% 35% 5%
7 KASPER Lucia - 3% 20% 40% 30% 6%
8 RAMMACHER Ryan - 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
9 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
10 PAQUETTE Emily 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
11 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
12 ZIMSKY James 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
13 MAHNKEN Thomas P. - 2% 15% 43% 36% 4%
14 UHRICH Reese 10% 39% 35% 13% 2% -
15 BURNSIDE Caden 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
16 DUCK Parker 42% 42% 13% 2% - -
17 SHANKS Jennifer 4% 25% 44% 24% 3% -
18 PANDYA Parth 11% 47% 32% 9% 1% -
19 HOPSON Ethan - 1% 11% 34% 38% 15%
20 MORRIS Luke 18% 44% 31% 7% 1% -
21 ELPURNOMO Aldrin - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
22 COOPER River - 4% 23% 41% 27% 4%
23 JOHNSON Alex - 1% 10% 32% 43% 13%
24 MCINTOSH E'manuel - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
25 POOLE Katherine 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
26 BRUFFEY Thomas 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
27 MILLER Aidan 9% 36% 39% 14% 2% -
28 PISTONE Leah 2% 17% 42% 30% 9% 1%
29 GIBSON Karino 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
30 JONES Dylan 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
31 WATTS Jason 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
32 STUCKI Marissa - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
33 CASTILLO Natalie 4% 28% 42% 22% 3% -
34 CRAIG Morgan - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
35 CHERRY Samuel 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
36 SMITH William 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.