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Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 LAI Aedin V V V D V D V V V V V V 4.5 4 -0.5
2 THAKUR Om S. D V V V V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
3 AYALA Jaime V V V V V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
3 O'HARROW Tristan C. V V V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
5 OSTIGUY Cameron V V V D V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
6 NABAVI Matthew R. V D V V V V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
7 CHESNEY Aiden R. V V D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
8 WANG justin V V D D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
9 MAHESH Tarun V V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
10 LONGSTREET Jeffrey D V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
11 FENG Du V V V V V D V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
12 TORRES Gianni V V V V V D V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
13 BEALS Alden V D D V V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
14 HEKMAT Sina R. V D D V D V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
15 LUNA MARTINEZ Luis V V D D D D V V D 4.2 2 -2.2
16 MELCHER Charles V D D V D D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
17 JENNINGS Adin V V V V V V V D 3.8 6 +2.2
18 DUBINSKY Scott V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
19 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas D V V V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
20 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) V V V V V D V D 3.5 5 +1.5
21 PAUL Max A. V V D V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
22 CHEN Jun Ho V V D D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
23 LIU Jeremiah W. V V D D V V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
24 CHU Brandon A. D V V V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
25 PAPSUN Benjamin J. D V V D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
26 XIE Brandon V D V V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
27 MCCALL Aidan V V V D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
28 JIANG ryan V V D D V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
29 GULLO Kenji Y. V V D V D D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
30 GRAYSON Joshua D V D V D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
31 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. V D V D D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
32 DORASZELSKI Mark D D V D D V V D 2.4 2 -0.4
33 PALLADINO Ben T. V V V V D V D 2.8 5 +2.2
34 BYARS John V D V V D V D 1.7 4 +2.3
35 STELTENKAMP Neal D V V D V V D 1.4 4 +2.6
36 PETROV Niki A. V V V D D D 1.8 3 +1.2
37 RUSSELL Edward V V D D D V D 5.0 3 -2.0
37 CHOUDHARY Grisham D V D V D V D 4.9 3 -1.9
39 WARD Carrington R. D D V V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
40 HU Robert J. D D D V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
41 CHOU Benson D V V D V D D 1.9 3 +1.1
42 MCWILLIAMS Miles V V D D V D D 1.7 3 +1.3
43 LAPP Oliver D D V V V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
44 HONG James D D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
45 REDDY Arya D D D V V D 1.9 2 +0.1
46 JACKSON Nicholas D D V D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
47 DJONOUMA Toyohm D D D V D V D 3.9 2 -1.9
48 PEDERSEN Christopher C. D D D V V D D 3.9 2 -1.9
49 RITTERSHAUS Bryce D V V D D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
50 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. D D D V V D D 3.3 2 -1.3
51 VINE Ross D D V D V D D 3.0 2 -1.0
52 ALI Adam V D D V D D D 4.4 2 -2.4
53 LAI Boden V D D D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
54 LIN Zizhen D D V V D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
55 HANSARD Jess V D D V D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
56 BANG Abraham D V D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
57 OTTO Nathaniel B. V D D D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
58 URQUHART Grant D D V D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
59 HO Ivan D D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
60 RICE Ethan D D V D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
61 VAN HOESEN Joshua D D D D V D V D 2.1 1 -1.1
62 SPRINGER Elijah D D D D D D V D 1.2 0 -1.2
63 WARD Kofi D D D D D D V D 1.9 0 -1.9
64 BUISINE Aurelien D D D D D D V D 1.9 0 -1.9
65 TARDIFF Seth D D D D D V D 2.5 1 -1.5
66 LI Ray D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
67 HOLLIS Sean D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
68 WOLFORD Benjamin D D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.