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Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 CHONG christopher - - 1% 7% 30% 46% 16%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
3 LONCAR Luka E. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
5 MELCHER Jack H. - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
6 DOSS David A. - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
7 GAO Daniel - 2% 12% 37% 37% 12%
8 WU Joseph - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
9 JONES Simon A. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
10 KNOX James - 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
10 JIN Owen - - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
12 ALFAIATE Lucas - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
13 PARK Frederick - 1% 18% 44% 32% 5% -
14 KUMAR Aidan 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
15 PRIHODKO Max 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
16 BEDOR William J. - < 1% 1% 12% 40% 46%
17 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
18 INSLER Ethan C. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
19 SERAFIN Ben - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
20 ROLLO Emmett H. 1% 13% 37% 35% 13% 2%
21 LANGTON Sawyer - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
22 SIMPSON Patrick - 3% 15% 37% 32% 11% 1%
23 RHYU Kozmo - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
24 FERGUSON Magnus K. - 4% 18% 38% 33% 8%
25 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2%
26 SHA Michael 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
27 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
28 HE Lawrence - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
29 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
30 DUBINSKY Scott - - 2% 13% 41% 40% 4%
31 WU Jonathan - 1% 12% 36% 38% 13% -
32 CHOI Mason - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
33 ZHANG William - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
34 KIM Byung - - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
35 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 7%
36 MACARTY Jordan T. - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
37 BARREIRO Darren - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
38 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
39 RICHARDS Daniel T. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
39 MISHIMA Torata - - 3% 17% 36% 34% 9%
41 PARK Nicholas 1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
42 KOBI Samuel - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 3%
43 LI Sui Lun (Phillip) - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
44 BASOK Nikita - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
45 RICHARD Owen - 3% 16% 38% 35% 9%
46 JIANG ryan 11% 42% 35% 11% 1% -
47 MAHESH Tarun 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% -
48 PERSAUD Daivik 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
49 SWANSON Lars M. 1% 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
50 DOLMETSCH Max - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
51 PETROV Niki A. 5% 40% 39% 14% 2% - -
51 LAI Aedin - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
53 SHEN Max - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
54 LIEF Isaac R. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
55 ZHAO Luhan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
56 PALLADINO Ben T. 7% 32% 41% 17% 3% - -
57 CAI Brian - - 6% 26% 45% 23%
58 ANDERSON Brendan P. - 1% 8% 32% 42% 16%
59 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
60 NOP Will H. 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
61 NIKOLOV Peter - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
62 REDDY Arya 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
63 SKAALAND Will 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
64 BEALS Alden 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% -
65 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1%
66 PAHLAVI Kamran 2% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1% -
67 TORRES Gianni 10% 37% 35% 14% 3% - -
68 WU Marcus 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
69 HONG James 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
70 CHEN Jun Ho - 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
71 STEVENS James F. - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
72 OSTIGUY Cameron 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
73 DORASZELSKI Mark 40% 43% 14% 2% - -
74 LAI Boden 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
75 WARD Carrington R. 2% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
76 AYALA Jaime - 5% 24% 40% 24% 5% -
77 LIU Jeremiah W. 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
78 GULLO Kenji Y. 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
79 GRAYSON Joshua 37% 46% 15% 2% - - -
80 DEPOMMIER Remi - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% 1%
80 SAVORETTI Francesco - 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
82 FENG Du 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
83 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
84 SANTOS Felipe 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
85 PAN Anthony 76% 22% 2% - - - -
86 LIN Zizhen 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
87 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 50% 42% 8% - - - -
87 WANG justin 11% 37% 37% 13% 2% - -
89 WONG King-Yee 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
90 HU Robert J. 27% 48% 21% 4% - - -
91 CAFASSO Martin 8% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
92 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
93 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 48% 39% 11% 2% - - -
94 HANSARD Jess 28% 53% 17% 2% - - -
95 BELLIVEAU Shane 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
96 STELTENKAMP Neal 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
97 ALI Adam 4% 26% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
98 BYARS John 56% 36% 7% 1% - -
99 LI Ray 88% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.