The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 3:30 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MUND Ruth - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
2 ZHANG Sophie - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
3 CHIANG Emily - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 ZENG Sarah 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
5 YAN Ava - 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
6 NAYAK Esha 1% 14% 36% 36% 12%
7 MONTORIO Lily M. 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
8 NAYAK Anika 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
9 YEN Natalie 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
9 CHIANG Melissa 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
11 ATTIA Jasmine 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
12 FEIG Sela - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
13 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
14 CHAVAN Arya 4% 27% 41% 23% 5%
15 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 2% 19% 39% 31% 8%
16 DAVIS Jordan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
17 YAN Lena 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
18 JUDICKE Sophia 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
19 NEUMAN Ella 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
20 DAHL Naomi V. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
21 ZHENG Valentina 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
22 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 5% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
23 LIM Alexa J. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
24 WOTZAK Kaia 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
25 SHEN Emily 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
26 LAZO Emily 52% 37% 10% 1% -
27 SHAW Guinevere L. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
28 MASTRONARDI Laura 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
29 KUANG LEIYIN 10% 45% 35% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.