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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Windy City SYC#8 /RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Berto Center / Also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
2 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 SUAREZ Adrian - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
3 STRINGER David - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
5 TANG August L. - - 4% 20% 44% 33%
6 KIAYIAS Aris - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
7 MAO Lucas - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
8 XU Andy P. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
9 TANG Albert - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
10 LEE Brendan - 2% 12% 35% 39% 13%
11 LIU Ethan - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
12 GUTH Joseph - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
13 CHEN Kyle P. - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 7%
14 EDWARDS Maxon - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
15 TAN Aidan 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
16 ZHANG Aaron - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
17 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
18 BARCA Bryant 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
19 LI Bradley - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
20 SENIC Lucas - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
21 HAN Derek - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
22 TANG Alexander L. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
23 XIE Buster 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
24 TWEMLOW Sacha 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
25 ZHAO Nathan - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
26 DENG David 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
27 GOODLIN Sean 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
28 VANOYEN Dominick - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
29 ROZALSKI Eli 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
30 LU Kevin 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
31 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
32 BAE Eugene 15% 38% 34% 11% 2% - -
33 ZHANG Lucas - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
34 ALLEN Henry G. - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
35 CHUANG Oscar 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2%
36 DESERANNO Leander - 1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
37 SUN Ryan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
38 MANDZY Theodor - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
38 PARRISH Evan 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
40 LIU Yinhong 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
41 LI Joseph 1% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
42 HUANG Eythan - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
43 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
44 CHENG Logan - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5%
45 LO Preston - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
46 WONG Evan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
47 LORENZO Alejandro - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
48 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
49 XU Nathan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
50 CHANG Jeremy 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
51 FINDLAY Zachary 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
52 ZENG Rick - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
53 MASSIMINO Andrew 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
54 DOELL Ethan 2% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
54 HEYBOER Jason 16% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
56 HICKEY Connor 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
57 WINGLER Cole 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
58 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
58 ZUCKER Avi - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
60 KIM Daniel 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
61 KUE Temujin 7% 39% 38% 14% 2% -
62 MARISI Gabriel 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
63 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 26% 47% 23% 4% - -
64 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
65 KNIBBE Nathan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
66 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
67 GOGOI Kavi 15% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
68 OZAWA Taishi 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
69 KAGAN Noah 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
70 HOWLAND Jonas 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
71 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 29% 43% 23% 5% - - -
72 HWANG Harris 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
73 ZMUDA Aiden 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
74 HERRERA Xavier 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
75 ZHANG Hanson 35% 46% 17% 2% - -
76 CHOI Benjamin 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
76 ZHAO Ryan 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
78 IBRAHIM Khaden 65% 30% 5% - - -
79 TACK Everett 71% 26% 3% - - - -
80 DIFRANK Tae 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.