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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Windy City SYC#8 /RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Berto Center / Also known as Felicity School - Deerfield, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Kevin - - 3% 22% 54% 21%
2 PARRISH Evan - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
3 TANG Alexander L. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
3 TAN Aidan - - - 5% 37% 58%
5 SENIC Lucas - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
6 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16%
7 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
8 CHENG Logan - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
9 DESERANNO Leander - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
10 LI Bradley - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
11 GUTH Joseph - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
12 DOELL Ethan - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
13 DENG David 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
14 TANG Royce 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
15 MANDZY Theodor - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
16 MARISI Gabriel - 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 2%
17 CHANG Jeremy - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
18 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 3%
19 ZHANG Lucas 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
20 ZHAO Ryan 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 6% -
21 HICKEY Connor 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
22 CHOI Benjamin - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
23 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
24 ZHENG Marcus 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
25 SUAREZ David 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 1%
26 XU Nathan 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
27 KNIBBE Nathan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
28 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
29 LIU Yinhong - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
30 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
31 KO Caleb 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
32 KAGAN Noah - 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
33 WANG Tiger - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
34 SCHRANK Edward 1% 13% 38% 38% 9% 1%
35 WANG Caleb 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
36 TACK Everett 11% 39% 37% 12% 1% -
37 OZAWA Taishi 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
38 ZMUDA Aiden 11% 44% 34% 10% 1% -
39 PAYNE Lynas 4% 27% 45% 21% 3% -
40 HUYNH Matthew 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
41 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% - -
42 DIFRANK Tae 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
43 GOGOI Kavi 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
44 ZHAO Jason 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
44 HONG Derek 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
46 ZHANG Hanson 50% 38% 11% 2% - -
47 DIFRANK Avery 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
48 NAIDL Micah 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
49 GE Felix Fei 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
50 KIAYIAS Alexander 16% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
51 LINEBERRY CADEN 15% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
52 CHASE Crosby 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
53 IBRAHIM Khaden 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
54 MAZAHERI Theodore 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
55 SHAH Aadi 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
56 HALLETTMANES Ezra 32% 44% 19% 4% - - -
57 CHAN William 3% 28% 42% 22% 5% - -
58 NG Gavin 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.