The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Battle in Space City RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, October 2, 2022 at 3:00 PM

University of Houston - Campus Recreation and Wellness Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANASKAR Ila 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
2 MCQUEEN Morgan - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
3 BEATIE Isabella M. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
3 LISCUM Vivian - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
5 HALE Avery - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
6 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. - 5% 22% 41% 28% 5%
7 CHERNIS Liah - 5% 22% 39% 29% 5%
8 MCCREIGHT Elena - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
9 PEI Claire - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
10 VALDEZ Emma - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
11 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
12 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
13 KELLEY Kelleah 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
14 OLSON Olivia 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
15 HOLDEN Helena 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
16 DESAI Eesha 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
17 HARMON Nikkole 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
18 HALE Reagan 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
19 ANDRUS Allie 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
20 HUANG Selina - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
21 ERIKSEN Isabella 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
22 SHIBLEY Micaela 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
23 NAVA PEREZ Matilde 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
24 ELLMER Ava 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
25 MATTA GALITZINE Lidia 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
26 KELLEY Dessa 30% 46% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.