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October NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, October 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 MASSIALAS Alexander C. - - - - 5% 28% 67%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
3 KUMBLA Samarth - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
5 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
7 ARCHER Kristjan - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
8 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 6% 32% 62%
9 EMMER Chase T. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
10 BROSZUS Blake J. - - - - - - 1% 4% 14% 27% 31% 18% 4%
11 CHEN Allen 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
12 JURKIEWICZ Jan 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
13 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
14 LI Brandon H. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
15 OURSLER Jack - - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 26% 17% 7% 1% -
16 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - - - - 2% 9% 22% 32% 26% 9%
17 HASSAN Mohamed H. - - 4% 17% 41% 37%
18 KELLY William J. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
19 GOOR Julian - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
20 GU Daniel - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
21 KIM Nicholas W. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
22 ZHANG Daniel D. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
23 BOURTIS James S. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
24 CHEN Andrew 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
25 KASI Sanjay - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
26 ROSOWSKY Ahmed - - - - - - 2% 9% 22% 30% 24% 10% 1%
27 LOUIE Bryce - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
28 YANG Luao 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
29 MATHIEU Adam - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
30 BAE Kevin - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 24% 15% 6% 2% - - -
31 CHEN Ziyuan 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
32 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
33 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 3% 16% 33% 33% 14% 1%
33 NAGIMOV Marsel - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
35 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
36 DANIEL Ashton - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
37 PAIK Joon K. - - - - - - 1% 5% 15% 29% 31% 15% 3%
38 YU Eric W. - - - - 2% 6% 17% 27% 26% 16% 5% 1% -
39 UM Ethan A. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
40 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 24% 11% 2%
41 YU Vinni - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 10% 3% 1% -
42 BOJANOV Boris - 2% 7% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
43 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 27% 21% 9% 2%
44 CULLIVAN Justice - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% - -
45 KAO Castor T. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
46 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 1% 4% 14% 24% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - - -
47 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 2% 8% 20% 27% 24% 13% 5% 1% - - -
48 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 28% 20% 8% 2% -
48 DESERANNO Jeidus - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
50 SHIN Philip D. - - - - - 2% 7% 18% 28% 27% 14% 4% -
51 MION Lorenzo - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% -
52 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 2% 8% 19% 28% 25% 13% 4% 1% - -
53 HUTH Jacob - - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 24% 13% 4% 1% - -
53 XIAO Enoch A. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 17% 2%
53 NDIAYE Edriss G. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 1%
53 BUERGIN Aidan - - 2% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 6% 1% - - -
57 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - -
58 DAI Jonathan T. - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 8% 2% - - -
58 JEON Caleb A. - - - 3% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - -
60 HAY Gavin - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% - -
61 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 25% 14% 5% 1%
62 AYUPOV Ilya - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 2% - -
63 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 24% 11% 2%
63 LEE Aidan - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% - - -
65 LIU Niles J. - - - - - 1% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1%
66 PETER Griffin - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
67 SONG Aiden S. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 11% 3% 1% - -
68 LIMA Kevin M. - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 16% 6% 2% - - -
69 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
70 WONG Adam L. - - - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 4% 1% -
71 MOHAMED Amir 1% 8% 21% 29% 24% 12% 4% 1% - - - - -
72 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 1% 3% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - -
72 LEE Jacob J - 2% 9% 21% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
74 WONG Adrian - 2% 9% 21% 28% 23% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
75 LIU Patrick - - - - 1% 5% 14% 26% 29% 19% 6% -
76 ZHENG Alan H. - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
77 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - - - - 2% 7% 18% 29% 28% 14% 3%
78 LORENZONI Davide Ryoga - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 22% 10% 2% -
79 SONG Leonardo T. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 11% 3% 1% -
79 BANERJEE ANUP - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% - -
79 LI Raphael C. - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
82 LI Owen - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
83 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 2% 7% 18% 27% 25% 14% 5% 1% - - -
84 GODZHIK Zachary - 1% 5% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% - -
85 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
85 LI Eric - 1% 6% 16% 26% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
85 DORAN Wesley C. 1% 6% 17% 26% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - - -
88 REALS Alden D. - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
89 KORABLIN Anton - - - - 1% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1% -
90 KIM Yonjae - 4% 12% 23% 27% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - -
91 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 11% 3% -
92 SICHITIU Alexander 2% 9% 21% 28% 23% 12% 4% 1% - - -
93 SIMA Congyu Josh 2% 10% 24% 29% 21% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
94 LI Richard - - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 24% 18% 9% 3% - -
95 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 24% 14% 5% 1% -
96 MURRAY Maximo 6% 22% 31% 24% 12% 4% 1% - - - - - -
97 HUTH Mitchell - - - 2% 6% 16% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
98 JIANG Owen 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
99 GRASS Andrew E. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
100 LO Conrad - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
101 HOSSFELD Finn E. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
102 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
103 TOTUSEK Marek - - 1% 11% 37% 43% 8%
104 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
105 GERVAIS Joel 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
106 KIM Ryan Y. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
106 WYMAN Julian 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
108 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 6% 31% 46% 17%
109 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 2% 14% 43% 34% 7%
110 STANLEY Mason B. - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
111 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
112 KWON Ethan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
113 JANG Jaewon - - 2% 10% 32% 41% 16%
114 NAGER Noah - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1%
115 TRAUGOT Owen G. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
116 LI Edward 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
117 BAS Liam - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
118 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
119 DIVITO Dylan - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
120 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
121 BALL James T. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 19% 3%
122 WU Nicholas 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
122 SEZER Kaya - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
124 SONG Bryan 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
125 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
126 ONIK Elijah T. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 6%
127 MAURER Ned (John) E. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
128 HSIUNG Richie 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
129 DOBBINS Evan W. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
130 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
131 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
131 LOVE Aaron 9% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
133 VOGLER Justin K. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
133 DICKSON Farr R. - - 4% 19% 44% 32%
135 BING Charles 1% 7% 29% 40% 20% 3%
136 SINGH Dayaal 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
137 GRIFFITH JACK - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
138 LU Yikai 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
139 AHN Jun - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
140 DAVIS Christopher M. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
141 KIM Brandon J. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
142 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - 1% 9% 26% 38% 22% 3%
143 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
144 HOSKERI Anik S. 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
145 GARCIA Sebastian R. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
146 ZHANG Yun Isaac 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
147 REYES Omar 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
148 DEGROOT Blake 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
149 DIERKS Kian 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
150 ZHAO Jason L. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
151 SHAFAIE Ali - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
152 PO Oliver 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% -
153 PELOSKY Zack B. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
154 JAIN Aditya - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
155 DETERING Julian 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
156 GATZA Logan 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
157 HO Jia Le Sean 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
158 LANG Dong Lin 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
159 KOBAL Maximilian 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
160 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
161 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
162 KEE Andrew L. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
163 ADLER David R. - 3% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
164 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
165 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
166 LIN James G. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
166 LOVIN Vlad 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
168 LEWIS Akhil 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
169 KIM Minhyeok 20% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
170 TANG Owen S. 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
171 MURUHIN Yaroslav 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
172 CHEN-LI David C. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
173 FORTUNE Alexander J. 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
174 GOGOI Vir K. 27% 45% 22% 5% - - -
175 MICKELSON Jacob P. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
176 ELKOUSY Laith H. 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
177 PAN Henry 39% 44% 15% 2% - -
178 SHA Yi Peng 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
179 HU Robin 5% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1%
180 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
181 LIN Michael 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
182 HAINES Ethan 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
183 RUFFNER Blake W. 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
184 WU Alexander - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
185 WILLIAMS Connor J. 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
185 LIM Lance Jeremiah 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
187 MOHAMED Murad 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
188 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
189 CHENG Nathan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
189 GONG Benjamin 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3% -
191 ZHANG Aaron 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
192 LUH Ethan K. 2% 16% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
192 ORR Spencer 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
194 EVANS Aidan 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
195 JAUME Andrei 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
196 BURBERRY Alan 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
197 ZOBEL Eric H. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
197 JITTAN daniel 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
199 CHENG Jonathan 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
200 LIGOS Alex M. 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
201 LEE Jacob 9% 37% 41% 12% 1% -
202 LIN Dashiell 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
203 JI Aidan Y. 36% 41% 18% 4% - -
204 FLANAGAN James 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
205 LOCKWOOD Owen - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
205 TIAN allen 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
207 JUDD Mehta J. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
207 WONG Antonio 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
209 YU Anders 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
210 PORRAS Cristian 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
211 PAI Lakshan K. 18% 40% 31% 9% 1% - -
212 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
213 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
214 GIRALDO Pablo E. 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
214 LI Matthew 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
216 PALMA Matthew Dominic 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
217 TSAO Lukas 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
218 REEVES Liam 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
218 KLOTZ Isaiah 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
220 LEWIS Paul D. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
221 ROSE Ben 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
222 PARK Sky 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
223 OH SEAN 19% 40% 30% 10% 1%
224 DAVIDSON Elliot 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
225 LEE Chris 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
226 KITAGAWA Eric S. 28% 44% 22% 5% - - -
227 WANG Michael 28% 46% 21% 4% - - -
227 MUSHER Benjamin J. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
227 ORLOV Dmitriy 12% 41% 33% 12% 2% - -
230 GUO Justin 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
231 WECHSLER Jacob 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
232 DINSAY Kristjan 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
233 GATRELL Mitchell E. 16% 45% 32% 6% - -
234 GAO William 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
235 KUZMAK Michael J. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
235 KANAR Ian 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
237 WANG Mason 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.