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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

October NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, October 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIEFER Lee O. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 PETROVA Kristina - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
5 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 QIAN Crystal - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
7 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
8 DUBROVICH Jacqueline - - - - 5% 30% 65%
9 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
10 RHODES Zander - - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
11 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. - - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
12 SHEN Sophia H. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
13 ANDREYENKA Yana - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 8%
14 CAO Arianna L. - 5% 25% 41% 25% 4%
15 LIU Jaelyn A. - 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
16 FERRARI Christina M. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
17 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% < 1%
18 CHENG Evelyn - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
19 TAFFEL sara - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
20 TIEU May L. - - - - 6% 31% 63%
21 CATANTAN Samantha Kyle - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
22 LACHMAN Antonina - 1% 7% 27% 40% 23% 4%
23 CHEN Jia P. 1% 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
24 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
25 CAULFIELD Jane - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
26 ZEISS Madison E. - - - 5% 25% 48% 21%
27 LEE Alina - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
28 JING Emily - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
29 ZHENG Ivy - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
30 ZHENG Vivian - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
31 KOO Rachel A. - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 2%
32 NAMGALAURI Mariam 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
33 CHUSID Mikayla - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
34 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
35 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
36 FANG Sabrina - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
37 KONG Chin-Yi - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
38 APELIAN Katherine - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
39 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
40 KIM Katherine 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
41 WANG Ellen - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
42 KOO Haley B. - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
43 CHO Gracie L. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
44 LEE Brianna J. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
45 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 2% 10% 31% 39% 18%
46 PEVZNER Victoria - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
47 HORSLEY Asherah - 1% 6% 24% 42% 25% 2%
48 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. - - 6% 26% 41% 24% 2%
48 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
50 BREKER Anika - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
51 LUNG Katerina - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
52 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
53 KIM Rachael - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
54 CHO Cameron S. 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
55 HE Elizabeth W. - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
56 YANG Iris 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
57 KOLODZIEJCZYK Malwina 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% - -
58 FEDELI Caterina S. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
59 JING Alexandra - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
60 PARK Rowan M. - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
61 KORABLINA Aleksandra - 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
62 EYER Hailey M. 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
63 SOOD Ishani S. - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
64 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 1% 7% 27% 41% 23% 2%
65 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
66 HAYES Nadia 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
67 LEE Allison (Allie) - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16% 2%
68 LI Rachel Y. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
69 STAMOS Maria - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
70 LEE Yejine - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 8%
71 LUKINS Tianji - 7% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
72 KOROL Neta 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
73 HOSONO Rei W. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
73 KLINE Melissa C. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
75 SHEN Lydia - 3% 14% 34% 34% 13% 1%
76 CASTANEDA Erika L. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
77 ZHAO Sophie L. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
78 ANDREYENKA Hanna - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 2%
79 BIASCO Anna - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
80 YU Lauren C. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
81 LEE Annora Y. - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
82 ZHANG Yunjia - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26% 2%
83 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
84 JANG Kimberley 1% 11% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
85 SENIC Adeline - 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
86 MILLER Naomi E. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
86 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
88 HO Brianna W. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
89 SUN Ruoxi 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
90 LI Sophia M. 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
91 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
92 ZHENG Julie 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
93 LOCKE Savannah 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
94 SERBAN Samantha M. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
94 CHEN Allison V. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
96 ROY Layla 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
97 CHEN Jessie S. 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3% -
98 TAN Kaitlyn N. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
99 MEI Sarah 45% 42% 12% 2% - -
100 YAROSHENKO Karina - 1% 7% 25% 41% 24% 3%
101 ZHANG Alina C. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
102 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
103 RANDOLPH Piper 8% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
103 CHO Rebecca H. 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
105 ZHAO Aileen Y. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
106 DAVIA Daniella V. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
107 LEE Lavender 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
108 WANDJI Anais 8% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
109 ORVANANOS Anice 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
109 NISSINOFF Alexandra 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
111 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
111 PENG Amber L. 2% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
111 GOOR Viviene E. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
114 LI Phoebe J. 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
115 KOKES Gabrielle - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
116 CHUSID Renata M. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 6%
117 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 8% 38% 38% 13% 2% - -
118 XUE Alanna L. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
119 YU Seneca 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
120 CAO Ying - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
121 KOSTELNY Alexis 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
122 LEE Ji Ahn 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
123 SEO IRENE Y. 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% - -
124 MAO Rebecca J. 33% 50% 15% 2% - - -
125 DE LA CRUZ Eden 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
126 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
127 VIANNA Gabriella 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
128 DEBACK Greta I. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
129 NIKOLIC Alexandra 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
130 RENTON Samantha 10% 41% 35% 12% 2% - -
131 KNIGHT Skylar - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
132 UPTON Elizabeth 15% 39% 34% 11% 2% - -
132 WEBB Ella 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
132 GU Emily 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
135 PROCOPIO Lucia 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
136 MI Aileen 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
137 LUO Sandra J. 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
138 HAN Crystal 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
139 JO Mia C. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
139 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
141 HUNG Juliana K. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
141 KOROL Dana 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
143 SHIM Grace J. 61% 33% 6% - - - -
144 BURBERRY Livia 72% 24% 3% - - - -
145 CHEN Chloe I. 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
146 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
147 LI Shuang 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
148 CALISE Ella 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
149 COOPER Piper W. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
149 SHENG Chuxi 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
151 SUN Chien-Yu 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
151 KIM Rachel 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
153 CROMPTON Celia N. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
154 DRAGNE Alexis D. 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
155 ZHANG Eunice 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
156 TALWALKAR Apoorva 20% 50% 25% 5% - - -
156 SHA Yi Ling 42% 47% 11% 1% - - -
158 WONG Sophia M. 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
159 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
160 BOLES Sophia 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.