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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GUGALA Hanna	-	3%	12%	27%	33%	20%	5%
2	BERRIOS Catalina	-	-	1%	6%	21%	41%	31%
3	AWAD Royce	-	2%	12%	31%	36%	16%	2%
3	KWON Ava	-	3%	13%	30%	34%	17%	3%
5	LEOU Korina	-	-	-	5%	39%	55%
6	WANG JiaQi	-	4%	17%	32%	30%	14%	2%
7	VINOKUR Anita	-	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	26%
8	LIANG Claire	3%	16%	32%	30%	15%	4%	-
9	BORGUETA Madison	-	-	1%	8%	29%	43%	18%
10	DAMBAL Sasha	-	1%	5%	18%	34%	31%	11%
11	HU Anna	-	1%	4%	17%	33%	33%	13%
12	GONZALEZ Veronika	-	-	3%	22%	52%	23%
13	NIU Jessica	-	4%	17%	32%	31%	14%	2%
14	LEE Kaitlin	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
15	GONG Joy	-	3%	14%	32%	34%	15%	2%
16	BAIK Sarah	19%	38%	30%	11%	2%	-	-
17	CHOI Charlotte	11%	31%	35%	18%	5%	1%	-
18	REN Katherine	1%	6%	23%	38%	25%	7%	1%
19	PATEL Maia	-	2%	11%	29%	36%	19%	3%
20	CASTELO Soleil	1%	5%	18%	32%	29%	13%	2%
21	FUNG Iris	-	-	-	4%	18%	42%	36%
22	BROWN Aria	3%	17%	34%	30%	13%	3%	-
23	WEI Madison	2%	12%	30%	33%	18%	5%	-
24	DUTA Lyra	1%	6%	19%	31%	28%	13%	2%
25	YERENKOVA Ameliia	2%	12%	28%	33%	20%	6%	1%
26	SEO Kaitlyn	-	3%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%
27	WEI Avril	1%	11%	29%	35%	19%	4%	-
28	CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia	14%	37%	33%	13%	2%	-	-
29	MACKAY Katherine	4%	25%	41%	24%	5%	-
30	STOLCKE Saskia	6%	28%	41%	22%	3%	-
31	VORA Mehr	2%	23%	38%	27%	9%	1%	-
32	BLUMBERG Harper	4%	23%	37%	26%	9%	2%	-
33	HUANG Pierra	35%	44%	18%	3%	-	-
34	WONG Charlene	7%	30%	41%	20%	2%	-
35	PRUTSKY Alexandra	2%	11%	28%	34%	19%	5%	1%
36	GALLAGHER Isabella	23%	42%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
37	BAK Milena	31%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-
38	LOCHRIDGE Leah	2%	13%	31%	34%	17%	4%	-
39	JUNG Elise	2%	19%	38%	30%	10%	1%	-
40	PIENKOWSKI Olivia	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	4%	-
41	WANG Chloe	6%	27%	40%	22%	5%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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